Soccer Picks AS Roma vs Genoa

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, January 8, 2014 8:33 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jan. 8, 2014 8:33 PM UTC

Roma look to bounce back when they take on Genoa in week 19 EPL betting. Find out what odds are currently trading across sportsbooks and where the value soccer picks can be had. 

Giallorossi suffer first defeat on the season

Although Roma were up against it in week 18 Serie A betting, with a clash against league leading Juventus in Turin, many experts and pundits alike expected Roma would defy the soccer odds, if not on the win then at least on the draw. Tale told Juventus redlined their top credentials with a commanding 3-0 victory over Roma. The upshot of which: sportbooks are tipping Serie A as a one-horse race this season.  

That Roma would suffer a defeat this season was bound to happen eventually. That it came against the Serie A standard is nothing to be ashamed of at all. In fact, it’s rather fitting some would say.

Still, it’s awfully frustrating for the team that reeled off ten straight wins to start the season, underscoring wholesale changes that were made to the entire outfit during the summer and the bold move to hire Rudi Garcia, a Frenchman as their new coach. They really looked to be well and truly on their way to great heights; that is, until veteran player and captain Francesco Totti suffered an injury.

Roma boast a 12-5-1 mark in Serie A and 41 points. They are eight points behind Juventus, largely down to a string of draws – coinciding with Totti’s injury – that cost them dearly in the Scudetto race. Juventus were only too glad to overtake the lead and they have continued to pull ahead since.

Following the defining outcome of their clash last week, Juventus have pulled ahead in the futures market as well. Ahead of week 18 Serie A betting, Bet365 traded Juventus to win the Scudetto at -600 soccer odds. Today, they are listed at staggering -1000 soccer odds to win outright or even higher in other notable sportsbooks.  Roma meanwhile floated from +500 to +800 to win the title.

While Serie A is being billed a one-horse race right now, it doesn’t mean it will remain so in the foreseeable. Fact: there is still half a season to play, during which anything can happen. What’s more, Roma are only eight points behind Juventus. Given Roma’s brilliant overall form this season, it’s quite possible they could close the gap.

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Indeed for their upcoming clash with Genoa they are the hot favourites at -275 to win outright at Bet365. In the nation’s capital, the Giallorossi remain undefeated with a 7-2-0 mark through nine games and, most impressively, they have netted 20 goals and conceded just 2 goals. By and large, that the most impressive defensive record in Italy, not to mention Europe proper.

Genoa, tipped at whopping +800 soccer odds to win outright, will be hard pressed to actually mastermind the upset. Sat in eighth place on the back of a 6-5-7 overall record and 23 points, the gulf in talent and quality between Genoa and their upcoming hosts is summed up by a difference of almost 20 points. 

Genoa are coming off a 2-0 victory over bottom stragglers Sassuolo in week 18 but it was their first victory since November 10 when they beat Hellas Verona at home. Their last road victory came a week prior when they beat Lazio 2-0 and since they have gone 0-1-2 on the road.

Soccer Betting Verdict: Although Genoa ranks in the top ten there is a big drop off in quality and talent between the top three clubs and the rest of the Italian field. As such, Roma have to be considered the hot favourites in this match as well as the value soccer pick at -275 to win outright. Expect Genoa to give Roma a run for their money with both teams to score and push the total to Over 2.5 at -125. There is a small chance Genoa would force the draw on Roma, which is an alternative soccer pick trading at +350 at Bet365. Having fallen behind in the Scudetto race, Roma will want to get back on track, not to mention they owe their fans a strong performance against Genoa.  

Soccer Free Picks: Roma to win outright at -275; Over 2.5 at -125

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