Soccer Picks: Roma & Real Madrid High Scoring Affair To Go 'Over' 2.5

Martin Green

Monday, February 15, 2016 9:45 PM UTC

Monday, Feb. 15, 2016 9:45 PM UTC

Real Madrid are one of the top three teams in the world right now and should make short work of Roma in this match. Don't miss our odds breakdown and get the best soccer picks.

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Free Champions League Pick: Over 2.5 goals
Best Line Offered: at BetVictor


Real Madrid are one of the top three teams in the world right now and should make short work of Roma in this match. The home side are in decent form in Serie A, but the likes of Cristiano Ronaldo, Karim Benzema and Gareth Bale will the Roma defense a torrid time and that should be enough to see Real win this game.


Roma vs. Real Madrid Game Overview
Real’s Galacticos are finally clicking and Bale – the world’s most expensive footballer – has banged in 11 goals in his last eight games. Ronaldo, the second most expensive footballer of all time and three-time World Player of the Year, has also been in deadly form, scoring nine in eight, while Benzema has arguably been the best of the bunch, notching 11 in eight and holding up the ball exceptionally well. They are playing with freedom and flair under new manager Zinedine Zidane. Behind them, Toni Kroos, Luka Modric and James Rodriguez are marshalling the midfield well, and Sergio Ramos and Raphael Varane have been very strong in defense. They look set to run Barcelona right to the wire in La Liga, and those two, along with Bayern Munich, are justifiably favorites to seize the Champions League crown at the end of the season. You can get +550 on Real to win the Champions League, and that is a great price when you consider that nobody ever successfully defends the Champions League – which would rule out favorites Barcelona – and that Real could certainly overcome Bayern. Ronaldo has been terrorising defenses so far in this season’s Champions League, having scored a remarkable 11 goals in the six group games. It leaves him as -600 favorite to be the tournament’s top scorer, and he has a serious point to prove on the European stage after losing out to Barcelona’s Lionel Messi in the recent World Player of the Year awards. Expect him to be champing at the bit and ready to inspire Real to victory. He is +100 with Stan James to score at any time in this match, a great price when you consider Bet Victor will only go to -129. Real won their Champions League group at a canter, winning five and drawing one and finishing above an extremely good PSG side that is running away with the French league.

Roma, on the other hand, were very lucky indeed to scrape through their group. They took just six points from six games, winning only once. Fortunately, that win came over Bayer Leverkusen. Roma drew three and lost two – to Barcelona and BATE – and finished level on six points with Leverkusen, both well behind Barcelona and just a solitary point above minnows BATE. Leverkusen had by far the better goal difference, but Roma went through because they had the better head-to-head record against Leverkusen, having won 3-2 at home and drawn 4-4 away. They are in good form in the league, having won their last four games, and lie in third. Nobody gives them any chance of winning the title, however, and they are priced at +25000 with Coral.


Betting Analysis
Real Madrid are far superior to any team in Italy and will fancy their chances of beating Roma. They are odds-on favorites, best priced at -111 with Betway, but there is value in that as Real Madrid are such a wonderful side and you really would fancy them to overcome a Roma side that has not progressed out of the last 16 since the 2007-08 season. You can get +1100 on a 2-0 win for Real with 888Sport, which is an intriguing bet. Also check out 3-1 to Real, which is +1400 with 888Sport and in various others soccer odds boards.

Ronaldo is understandably favorite for first goal scorer, and the +350 William Hill is offering is a great price. It’s a risky bet though, as Benzema (+420 with 888Sport) and Bale (+650 with 888Sport) are also in such hot form. Bale may miss the match due to an injury, however, so it might be worth checking to see if he is playing when the line-ups are announced, and if he isn’t, hedge your bets on Ronaldo and Benzema. The anytime goal scorer on Ronaldo bet really looks to be the way forward though.

The over 2.5 goals also looks a decent soccer pick. Bet Victor and William Hill are offering +125 on that. Roma have had some really high-scoring Champions League games of late – notably against Leverkusen, where there were 13 goals in the two matches – and Real are exceptional going forwards. 

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