Soccer Picks: Real Sociedad vs. Valencia

Mike Richardson

Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:27 PM GMT

Tuesday, Mar. 11, 2014 3:27 PM GMT

There is more money to be sown over in Spain if you listen to your Humble Handicapper’s tips when Real Sociedad take on Valencia. Your Humble Handicapper seems to be cleaning up on the continent at the minute and if you listen to what he says you can share some of the spoils.

Both of these sides are clearly out of contention for the league title this season, but that doesn't mean that they had nothing to play for and that doesn't mean that you have nothing to win money on.

At a time of press and after 26 games, I can let you know that Real Sociedad are sixth over in Spain. This game is a hugely important one as there are just seven points separating these two sides as Valencia have 36 point and Real Sociedad have 43.

This is a good time as any to let you know that the odds on Valencia finishing in the top six this season are 7/1, Real Sociedad doing the same is at 2/5. Not that it matters, but the bookies have  a top four finish for Real Sociedad are 7/1 and the best soccer odds on Valencia doing the same are 66/1, both pretty unlikely but they give you an idea of who will come out on top in Sunday's game.

Enough with top six/four finishes…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

Without a further to let me tell you the basic best soccer odds with a win lose or draw this game. Valencia winning is available at 12/5 while a Real Sociedad victory is at 11/10, and the game ending drawn is available at best soccer odds of 11/5.

Both sides had a little bit of a shaky run at present with both Real Sociedad and Valencia recording just two victories in their last five games. It's slightly worse for Valencia as they are winless in their last three, that's two draws and a single defeat, and Real Sociedad may have lost their last game but they won the two previous games to that, including a 3-1 victory over reigning champions Barcelona.

Let's do some maths.

Real Sociedad have scored five goals in their last five games, but they have conceded just three, slightly more than half the goal per game on average. Valencia by comparison have scored six goals in their last five games, but have only found the back of the net once in their last three. Also Real Sociedad have kept just two clean sheets in the last five while Valencia kept the same number.

What’s more interesting to note is that Real Sociedad have come out top every time in the last five meetings between the two sides and they have outscored Valencia 13 goals to 5.

It is interesting to note that the bookies have both sides scoring at 8/13 but the game going under 2.5 goals at 11/10. Therefore I think we shall see a low scoring encounter, but we will see a clear winner.

Your Humble Handicapper likes history on this one and is backing Real Sociedad, to win, with our soccer picks.

Prediction: Real Sociedad win 1-0 available at 8/1 with Stan James.

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