Soccer Picks: Real Sociedad vs. Manchester United Tips

Nila Amerova

Monday, November 4, 2013 1:50 PM GMT

Real Sociedad and Manchester United collide in Champions League and contrary to popular opinion it’s far from a foregone conclusion. Bookmakers have released interesting odds, offering value on both sides of the coin. Join us as we breakdown the odds and serve up value picks for your consideration.

Manchester United strikes unconvincing pose atop Group A

Doubters haven’t been impressed by Man U (2-1-0) in Europe’s top-flight league. And that poor opinion doesn’t end there, extending into Premier League action as well. A double-edged sword that is reflected by sportsbooks that have propelled Man U into market obscurity – well, by their lofty standards – discounted as credible title threats; they are listed at a whopping +1400 to win Champions League and at +750 to win the Premier League.

Man U are sat atop Group A with seven points ahead of match day 4, the reverse fixture against Real Sociedad slated for Tuesday, 5 November, at Stadium Anoeta in San Sebastian. But they only have a slim edge, sat just a point ahead of Bayer Leverkusen (2-0-1) in second place.

By contrast, Real Sociedad are propping up Group A having lost all three fixtures. It’s their first trip to this prestigious competition in 10 years and so it was always expected they’d have a tough time taking the measure of the more experienced field of opposition.

In the last round Man U beat Real Sociedad at the Old Trafford but by all accounts it was a dull affair and the 1-0 score left much to be desired. Crucially, both teams were left wanting – Man U’s shortcomings were left exposed while La Real walked away encouraged if disappointed by the result – the upshot of which is a rather interesting market for their reverse meeting in Spain in which both sides are listed on the long side of even money; Real Sociedad are listed at +220 while Man U are tipped at +130 and the draw is going for +230 at Bet365.

With such a market there is value to be had on both sides of the coin. But which side is smart money? In other words, what are the best soccer picks to pad your pocket?

Real Sociedad vs. Man U betting tips and picks

It goes without saying that this is a must-win for Man U if they hope to stay ahead of Bayer Leverkusen and maintain their hold on top spot. It will also silence naysayers in the process, which can’t hurt.

Fortunately, the prognosis is good despite the unflattering soccer odds, as Man U's recent form has seen a significant upsurge in many aspects.

Man U are undefeated in their last seven fixtures across all competitions and since beating Real Sociedad at the Old Trafford they’ve reeled off three straight victories. In the process, issues on offense seem to have been solved during this stretch as they’ve scored ten goals and conceded just three.

Although they built this run on rather lightweight opposition in Premier League – Stoke, Norwich and Fulham aren’t exactly teams that would make knees quiver in fear – that they’ve been able to find such form (the fear they wouldn’t at all was very real) augurs well ahead of their trek south. At the very least, it suggests that the team is finally coming together, which is great news for Man U supporters and soccer bettors alike.

Real Sociedad have much to be wary of indeed but they also will have a lot going for them, namely home advantage and supporters on hand to cheer for them. That they were able to play Man U close at the Old Trafford and recently picked up their domestic form (they are up to seventh in the table following a 5-0 walloping of Osasuna at the weekend) augur well for the return fixture. Sportsbooks may be discounting them as credible threats to win this fixture at +220 soccer odds but they may fancy their chances and as such shouldn’t be underestimated.

Soccer Betting Verdict: Widespread Champions League picks involve a Man U victory and, therefore, it would seem smart money is on backing Man U at +130 at Bet365.

It should be noted that there is a slight yet perceptible trend towards Real Sociedad at +220 to win outright, and so if you are so inclined, we can’t say naught against it save for don’t go betting the farm on it. Upsets can happen, we do agree. But given the stakes here: Man U is fighting for top spot and the knockout rounds while Real Sociedad’s campaign is pretty much over, it’s hard to imagine they’d be so careless to let up now. If you remain unconvinced by Man U, unsure whether to buy what they are selling just yet, perhaps the draw bet is a better option at +230. After all Shakhtar Donetsk held Man U to a 1-1 draw on match day 2 and Real Sociedad could realistically hope to achieve the same, if nothing else.

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Soccer Free Picks: Manchester United to win outright at +130 at Bet365

Bonus Free Picks: Over 2.5 at +100 and Draw –Man U double result at +450

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