Soccer Picks: Real Sociedad vs. Atletico Madrid

Mike Richardson

Monday, August 26, 2013 5:45 PM GMT

Monday, Aug. 26, 2013 5:45 PM GMT

It doesn’t matter where the rain in Spain falls, (mainly) you can still win money by following your Humble Handicapper’s tips. The money in Spain falls directly on Real Sociedad V Atlético Madrid next weekend.


Mrs Richardson has always enjoyed Spanish cuisine and fashion and after you’re Humble Handicapper’s last Spanish tip, she's now thrilled by their football because of her husband’s winnings (which means shoes for her.

Enough with the shoes…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?


The obvious fore-gone conclusions in Spain is always to back Real Madrid and Barcelona, so you have to look elsewhere to make some money out of La Liga games. For example have a look at Atlético Madrid and Real Sociedad as I'm expecting the game to wins us some cash and if you follow in my steps you can share in my joy.

Last season these two sides were only separated by a single place with Real Sociedad coming off worse and having to qualify for the Champions League via the play-offs.

Atlético Madrid by comparison finished third in the league and enjoyed the automatic Champions League group stage qualification. Although that implies that there was not much between each side there was a full ten points and 13 goals separating them.

What is considerably closer is the fact that Real were just one point better off in fifth place in Valencia.

Enough with last season…WHERE’S THEMONEY MIKE?

Looking at the last two times these side met, both last season, the game was decided by a single goal and oddly enough it went in the away side's favour. If you think that's all history repeat itself you can get soccer odds of 7/5 on Madrid winning and 7/1 on them winning by 1-0. By comparison in the odds of 9/5 Real Sociedad winning 1-0 is 10/1 and any home win is at 9/5. For the record (and not that my crystal ball tells me that it’ll happen) a draw is at 12/5.

Looking elsewhere it's actually really interesting to note that in three of the last four meetings between the two sides, have always gone in favour of the away side. The biggest margin of victory was when the Madrid were 4-0 winners, back in January 2012. If you think this game will go a similar distance by all means bet heavy on the 66/1 odds the bookies offer up for our soccer picks. And the last time we saw a home victory was also in Madrid's favour and that was a spanking 3-0 win back in April 2011.

[gameodds]17/243717/?r3=349/dec&r-1=349/us[/gameodds]

Close Enough to Tango

I think the game will be a lot closer, but I do think that Madrid are the better sidefor our sports picks. Let us not forget that almost beat Barcelona the other week (although the game ended 1-1). That’s still something to be proud of, even if you give Messi a severe schoolyard dead leg in the process, so it is worth investing Madrid in this match.

Real Sociedad by comparison have only won two of their last five games and have conceded plenty of goals and (basically) they just don't look as commanding as Madrid.

Free Soccer Picks: Back a Madrid victory, specifically 2-1 at 19/2 with Ladbrokes.

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