Soccer Picks: Real Madrid vs Sevilla

Richard O'Hagan

Monday, October 28, 2013 6:19 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 28, 2013 6:19 PM UTC

Will Real Madrid be able to redeem themselves this Wednesday after these bad weeks? Find out where we've decided to place our cash.

It hasn’t been a good few weeks for Real Madrid. First local rivals Atletico beat them to take the Real Madrid derby at the end of last month, then Barcelona easily won the first El Classico of the season on Saturday, the 2-1 scoreline arguably flattering Real Madrid as it took them until the last minute to find the net.

Wednesday’s game against Sevilla will offer them a welcome chance to claw back some ground on Barca, who they now lie six points behind at the top of La Liga. Sevilla, though, will be an interesting proposition for them. Unai Emery’s side have won only two games all season, but they have also lost only three. In their last four games they’ve recorded both of those victories, plus two draws. They are tough to beat, yet still occupy a dour mid-table slot.

With soccer odds currently pricing Real Madrid at an unattractive 1.22, this makes the draw, a best price of 7.0 with BetVictor, looks appealing. However, some caution is needed as Real Madrid have only drawn one match all season, and their only two defeats have come to the two sides placed higher in the table than them. There’s not much value in betting the Real Madrid win, but it without doubt the safest option, too.

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If you want some value for your money then, inevitably, you’re going to have to take on the riskier bets. That means thinking outside the box a little. Take the correct score market. With both sides averaging more than one goal a game this season, there’s a temptation to go for something like a 2-1 Real Madrid victory. However, whilst that will get you a fairly decent return of 11.0 at BetVictor, Real Madrid actually average more than two goals a game at home, so in fact a 3-1 win at the same price, or even 3-2 at 29.0 with Stan James, are even more likely outcomes for your soccer picks.

Soccer Picks: With no value backing the Real Madrid win, look at 3-2 or 3-1 for the best value
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