Soccer Picks: Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund

Mike Richardson

Monday, April 29, 2013 6:11 PM UTC

Monday, Apr. 29, 2013 6:11 PM UTC

With the first leg of the Champions League Semi-Finals reading Germany 8 Spain 1, it’s advantage Germany, but Real Madrid V Borussia Dortmund is a little closer.

They also a clear favourite and I don't expect Spanish eyes to be smiling come the final whistle on Tuesday night.

It's scant consolation to real Madrid that they did fractionally better than Barcelona when they went up against German competition in the away leg of their Champions League semi-final. 4-1 is always going to be better than 4-0 if you have to lose this sort of match.  But I don’t think anybody's really expecting Madrid to make it through to the final, or indeed it be an all-Spanish final. If you want to throw your money away an all-Spanish final is available at 61/1, and to suggest even how likely that actually is you should know that all German champions league final is available at soccer odds of 3/13.

Enough of the Finals…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

If you want to talk about form you should know that the German giants bested Real Madrid in the group stage last time, winning 2-1 at home and drawing 2-2 away. They repeat of a 2-2 draw is available at 14/1 while 2-1 is available at 18/1.

If you think that Madrid will do the impossible and make it through to the final, the odds on them doing just that are 47/11. Apart from the horrible 4-1 deficit that they take into this match, you should also know that the Spanish giants crashed out of the Champions League to a Bundesliga team at this stage of the Champions League last season.

Wild Bets

If you're feeling utterly perverse you might like to know that Cristiano Ronaldo has scored 12 goals in the Champions League this season. He needs just three more to beat Lionel Messi's total from last year. And if you would bet on him getting a hat-trick, something that is on offer at 12/1 for our  soccer picks. But it would also take Real Madrid to keep a clean sheet to go through to the final. The 3-0 score is available at 15/1, but I think that's the sort of bet that only Ronaldo’s mum would make.

One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest

If you're crazy on Real Madrid man you might take heart from the fact that back in August 2009 defeated Dortmund 5-0, naturally that score would see them through to the final however four years ago was a mere friendly and Madrid repeating that feat is at 80/1.Knowing what’s likely to happen on Wednesday night is shown by the fact that Madrid winning both halves is at 11/8 while Dortmund winning both is at 9/1 and the game being drawn on the 45 and the 90 is available at 7/1.

Last weeks match between these foes~

But considerably more significant is that in the last three meetings between these two sides the German outfit has outscored the Spanish giants eight goals to four. Crunching the numbers down means a 2-1 scoreline to the visitors something that is offered up at 18/1.

Just while we're here, we should mention that Real Madrid are 10/1 to win the Champions League and Borussia Dortmund are 21/10.

I think this game will be a bit tighter than that and I think both sides will score, Real Madrid because they have to and Dortmund because Madrid will probably overcommit themselves up front and I reckon that this game will end drawn.

Free Football Tip: Game ends tied on 1-1 available at 8/1 at Will Hill.

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