With four games left in Spain both Rayo Vallecano and Valencia still have much to play for, with either side still able to qualify for Europe. Rayo sitting just three points outside a Europa League spot and Valencia, in fifth, just two points behind Real Sociedad in the chase for the final CL place.
However, the form of these two sides could not be much more different coming into this one, so what do the bookies think and where does the best value lie in this game for you, the bettor?
Well, Valencia have lost just one of their last seven, winning five and drawing just one and that is reflected in the odds with the visitors at EVENS favourite with William Hill against the soccer odds 13/5 for Rayo to win this one. Bet365 has the draw at 23/10.
Vallecano have not won in four and lost five of their last ten, winning just twice. They last won at home back on March 9th, losing two and drawing the other since then. They have amassed just eight points from a possible 30 those last ten outings, scoring just ten and conceding 16.
In contrast Valencia have hit 16 goals their last five games, 23 in ten and conceded 14. They hit five against Malaga and four without reply hosting Ossasuna a week ago. They last drew a blank eight games ago, losing 1-0 in Bilbao. The two main protagonists, Roberto Soldado
(19) and Jonas (13) have hit 32 of Valencia's 58 goals in La Liga this season.
Unsurprisingly then, I like the Valencia win and Over 2.5 goals offered at 7/4 but am sticking my neck out and backing the Valencia win and Over 3.5 at 8/1 with William Hill. I also like the Total Valencia goals bet of 3 goals at 5/1 though the 4+ goals at 17/2 is very tempting, both with Ladbrokes!
When the sides met back in December it was the visitors who ended Ernesto Valverde's three game winning start as Valencia coach, striker Alejandro Dominguez's late penalty against his former club earning Rayo Vallecano a surprise 1-0 win. A repeat of that scoreline is at
12/1 with bet365 while 15/2 with Ladbrokes is the price right now for the reverse.
Valencia boss Ernesto Valverde was rightly delighted with his side after they defeated Osasuna 4-0 last weekend, with goals from Roberto Soldado, Ricardo Costa, Ever Banega and Jonas securing Los Che all three points.
It was a great response having lost to Champions League place rivals Real Sociedad the weekend before, which also halted a five game unbeaten run. Sociedad lost in Getafe Monday night to neutralise that gained advantage anyway, so it is as we were for those two coming into Week 35 though for me, Valencia have the easier final run in of the two.
I can really see nothing but a win, and a convincing one, for Valencia this weekend and with Rayo only having Tito, with 15 goals, carrying his weight in attack this season, I can see the visitors gaining a third clean sheet in ten also. So 2-0 at 9/1 and 3-0 at a whopping
18/1 with bet365 are my leans in this one. If you think they can match last weekend and go back to back 4-0 wins then 40/1 is what bet365 have for you and could be well worth a beer money bet on the side!
Away win for me at 11/10 with Ladbrokes, the over 3.5 at 8/1 with William Hill and the 3-0 at 18/1 with bet365 and also the 5/1 for three (3) total Valencia goals, with Ladbrokes also for your soccer picks
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