Saturday 23rd February 2013
QPR vs. Manchester United
United have a massive 48 points more than QPR's paltry 17 so far this term and can boast 62 goals to Rangers appalling total of 19. Robin van Persie has scored 23 this term alone for the red half of Manchester! That is just part of why United are 1/2 to win this one with bet365, William Hill and Ladbrokes. QPR are hovering between 5/1 and 11/2, depending on who your preferred bookie is, with the draw at 3/1 with William Hill.
The home side has improved under Redknapp and were unbeaten in 2013 in the league before their 4-1 loss at Swansea last time out. They are seven points from safety though, eight in reality with their terrible goal difference of -22 that only Aston Villa can lay claim to a worse record than! In reality, and as I stated several weeks ago, QPR are almost down and barring a miracle will be the first club sure of relegation this season in my opinion, with only 11 games after this one to get themselves to safety!
United have not lost in the EPL since November 17th when they went down 1-0 at Norwich and they beat QPR 3-1 the week after that in this season's corresponding fixture. A repeat of that score for Man Utd is at a very attractive 11/1 soccer odds with bet365 and William Hill and both bookies have QPR at 50/1 to pull off the shock of the weekend, season, decade and win by that score!
Whilst a 1-0 win at Chelsea and creditable draws with Man City, Tottenham and West Ham have given some hope, in all cases these results have not been built upon and I have to say that the performance in the 0-0 home draw with Norwich was pitiful and lacked any sort of belief, structure or game plan and had me stating that QPR would not gain another point in February. This is their last chance to do that and prove me wrong!
United beat Reading in the FA Cup 2-1 last time out and are yet to lose in 2013 in all competitions, winning eight and drawing three, with one of those draws being at Real Madrid in the Champions League just to highlight the gulf between the two sides coming into this game. United are 1/25 favourites to rest the EPL title back from city rivals erm, City and with a twelve point lead and 12 games left I for one think the title is already theirs to lose.
Alex Ferguson has stated in the press recently that this squad is better than the treble winning 1999 version and with the FA Cup still in their sights and a crucial second leg tie at home to Real Madrid in two weeks time in the Champions League, there is every chance that this side could well emulate their 1999 counterparts. So no pressure there then Sir Alex!
QPR will be hoping that their focus on the big prize(s) and a certain amount of fixture congestion fatigue will give them an advantage Saturday afternoon and let's face it, for me the only way Rangers can possibly hope to stay up is not to draw but actually go out and win this one and then build on it as they face what amounts to 12 cup finals they must now play to save their season, Premier League status and more than likely, their long term financial security!
United and Sir Alex are old hats at this though and there is a reason they are looking to land their 20th EPL title, second treble and/or umpteenth double all in the same season. They're quite good! QPR have saved their best performances for the top six sides it can be said though, and should look to the likes of Bradford City and their exploits in this season's Football League Cup and appearance in the final Sunday, a game covered here with my Free Picks at SBR, as proof that anything can, and does, happen in football and that the belief should be that this week, it will.
There is no bigger motivator than playing Manchester United, except maybe avoiding relegation that is, so there you have it, all the motivation you need, home advantage, desperately loyal and expectant fans and a side that simply must win a game they, well, must win.
So with all that said, and barring my blindly loyal bet for a QPR win at 11/2 and my colossal optimism at either the 1-0 or 2-1 win both for them both at 18/1 with bet365 as my two Free Picks with SBR, where does the value lie in this game?
Well, United to concede is almost a foregone conclusion these days as they employ the score more than the other team philosophy, and have coupled it with the best come from behind stats in pretty much living memory, SO you can guarantee there will be a goal or two in this one. Take your pick from three as RVP, Rooney and Hernandez have a dizzying 51 goals between them and are 11/4, 10/3 and 7/2 respectively to get the opener in this one. Bobby Zamora 9/1, Loic Remy 9/1 and Adel Taarabt 10-1 are QPR's top three contenders to net first and give the strugglers something to fight for and build upon.
Loic Remy, if he has recovered from a groin problem, represents Rangers best chance of getting something from this game as he does have the pace to unsettle an ageing and injury carrying central defence at United and if Taarabt can combine with him and play him in then who knows what might happen? When I covered the return fixture in November I reminded everyone of a certain 4-1 QPR victory at Old Trafford back in 1992 to further the idea that anything can happen and that football is, in fact, a funny old game!
Free Soccer Picks: Away win for me at 1/2 a correct score prediction of 2-1 at 7/1 and Loic Remy to score first at 9/1 all with William Hill
My other soccer picks are a Loyalty Bet just for me and the brave amongst you with some beer money to spare; home win at 5/1, a correct score prediction of 2-1 at 18/1 and Loic Remy to score the first at 9/1 with William Hill.Elsewhere in the Football betting world:More EPL Action!