Soccer Picks: Premier League Betting Futures

Nila Amerova

Thursday, March 13, 2014 3:50 PM UTC

Thursday, Mar. 13, 2014 3:50 PM UTC

The Premier League season is winding down, entering the business end with less than a dozen matches (or so) left. Who will win the title? Be relegated? Just some of the many questions begging an answer, so join us as we look at the current futures betting odds in order to deliver our predictions.

To Finish Top 4

Predictably, current league leaders Chelsea have this market cornered at whopping -50000 futures betting odds; it would take something utterly unfathomable to happen for the Blues to fall out of the top four this season. Manchester City, currently in fourth place with 57 points but two games in hand, are also favoured heavily at -20000 for a top four finish. Meanwhile, the tandem of Liverpool and Arsenal, level on 59 points and both with a game in hand, are tipped at -1200 and -700 respectively to finish in this coveted bracket. However, Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester United (a game in hand) and Everton (two games in hand) are all in play and, arguably, they present the best soccer betting value to crash the party. Bet365 match Spurs at +600, Man U at +800 and Everton at +2000.

To Finish Top 6

Even better value can be found for wagers on a Top 6 Finish where the race is much tighter, the futures betting odds much closer. In the hunt are defending champions Man U at -300, a soccer pick few would have entertained halfway into the season after Man U’s abysmal start to the season, a new nadir for Man U that stood in stark contrast to their form in Sir Fergusson’s heyday at the helm. Other standout options in this category include Everton at -120 and Tottenham Hotspur at -450. The long shots in this category – but not entirely unthinkable – are Southampton at +5000 and Newcastle United (with a game in hand) at +6600. Premier League form guide ahead of Week 30 Premier League betting reveals Southampton are in seventh place while Newcastle United are in twelfth place on form right now. So if either one of these long shots were to muscle their way into the top six, the more likely choice would have to be Southampton  if they continue or improve on their current form.

To Be Relegated

Fulham at -700 futures betting odds are an almost sure soccer pick to be relegated by season end. Not only are the Lilywhites wilting in 20th place in the Premier League table but they are also at the bottom of the form guide ahead of Week 30. So off form and off colour are they, it would take a complete turnaround for them to climb out of the quagmire.

Cardiff City and Crystal Palace are both favoured by sportsbooks to fall out of top-flight football at -225 and +150 futures odds, respectively. But current form suggests that Norwich City or West Bromwich Albion are better soccer picks for demotion at +225 and +188 respectively.

Others in the running as well include West Ham United, Aston Villa and Stoke City (from 10-12th place in the table) because belying their comfortable position in the table is a six-point drop into the relegation zone. The Hammers are fourth in the form guide and, as such, arguably, the least likely of that triplet to dropout at +2000. Stoke City with one of the worst road records on the season and Aston Villa floundering both home and away are better options, although both are tipped as outside bets here at +2500.  Sunderland sat in 19th place ahead of Week 30 but with three games in hand are listed at +200 while Hull City and Swansea City (in 13th and 14th) are matched at +1400 and +1600 futures betting odds or thereabouts depending on your sportsbook of choice.

To Win Title

By all accounts, it’s Chelsea’s title to win or lose now that they are sat atop the standings with a seven-point edge over nearest rivals Liverpool and Arsenal ahead of week 30 Premier League betting. Sportsbooks are unanimously listing Chelsea as the firm favourites; Bet365 matches Chelsea at -125 futures betting odds while William Hill matches Chelsea at -120 futures betting odds.

The biggest threat to Chelsea’s title ambitions this season remains Manchester City according to odds makers who list the Citizens at around the +175 point. But how accurate that assessment is remains debatable. Given Man City’s recent disappointments in both FA Cup and Champions League, which must have taken the wind out of their sails, one wonders whether the injustice of it all won’t prove too much: one week they’re in the running for the quadruple. The next it’s just down to the double and a so-so shot at the second prize (they already have the League Cup) despite the three games in hand.

Arsenal, who led the league for the first half of the season almost exclusively, have fallen to the wayside and are now listed at a distant +2000 – a price tag underscored by a rather tough schedule down the stretch with dates against Tottenham, Chelsea, Man City, Everton all looming on the imminent horizon. Liverpool, who led the league for a brief instant, are looked upon more favourably with +550 futures betting odds to win the league title.

Share your thoughts on the Premier League Betting Futures

The Long and Short of it:

Theoretically, Tottenham Hotspur, Manchester United and Everton are still in play for the title but it would take a lot going right for either team to win the title, not to mention everything going wrong for the current top four of course. Of this triplet, Man U can be matched at +35000, the Spurs at +40000 and Everton at +80000. If these price tags alone don’t reveal how farfetched a wager on either is, nothing will regrettably.

Soccer Free Picks: Chelsea to win title at -120; Norwich City to be relegated at +225 and Everton to finish Top 6 at -120.

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