Soccer Picks: Parma vs. AS Roma

Nila Amerova

Friday, September 13, 2013 10:49 AM GMT

Friday, Sep. 13, 2013 10:49 AM GMT

Serie A enters week 3 of the season and on the soccer betting card is the clash between Parma and Roma. Find out where the value is to be had as we preview this match complete with odds and free picks for your consideration.

Roma in the race for top spot early in the season

With two rounds of Serie A action in the books, Roma is amongst several in the race for top spot. Roma has gone two rounds unbeaten with wins over Livorno and Hellas Verona but, arguably, neither side was much of an obstacle.

Parma, who finished top-10 last season, will be Roma’s first real test and a great measure for their campaign going forward. That notion is immediately obvious in the odds for this clash where Roma, though listed as the favourite, is on the long side of even money at +130. Of course, being on the road and coming up against a Serie A middleweight have something to do with those odds as well.

Parma off to slow start on the season

Parma have stuttered out of the gates. They opened the season with a scoreless draw to Chievo and then followed up with a 3-1 loss to Udinese on the road. With only a point to show for two rounds of action, the pressure is mounting ever so slowly. They need a win to get their season on the right track.

As far as soccer odds makers go, they deem Parma as the underdog at +210 at Bet365. What is a rather reasonable price all things considering and one that suggests there is a slight probability Parma could win. In fact, Sportsbooks list the odds for Parma win shorter than the odds for a draw at +240 at Bet365 and that is saying something.

Now for the slightly confusing bit: While the draw is listed the furthest out of reach result at +240, a 1-1 draw is the most favourably priced score line in the market, listed at +500 at Bet365. A 1-0 win or a 2-1 win by AS Roma is tipped at +750 and +850, respectively whilst a 1-0 win by Parma is tipped at +900. All other score lines, irrespective of the result and team are priced above +1000.

Furthermore, the double result market goes back to the overarching market on this match. AS Roma winning both halves is priced at +275 while Parma winning both halves is priced at +350 while the draw emerging in both halves is priced at +450.

Where the totals for this game are concerned the Over 2.5 and Under 2.5 tipped on the short side of even money but a hairbreadth apart – the former is priced at -118 while the latter is priced at -105.

[gameodds]10/243957/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Roma vs. Parma Predictions: Clearly, the markets are slightly at odds with each other, which in turn makes deciding what the best soccer picks are a touch trickier than usual. Nonetheless, here we go. 

We’re backing a Roma win and here’s why. AS Roma is ready for a new beginning this season, A tabula rasa so to speak. Two seasons of strife and disappointment have forced Roma to makes some necessary changes, changes that make them one of the clubs to watch this season. A new coach has arrived, new tactics are being introduced and that are slowly starting to take root, as well they’ve brought in some well known veterans like Maicon and injected some much-needed youth into the team with Tin Jedval and Adem Ljajic to name a few. All this has amounted to a perceptible change in the way they’ve played so far. They look better and, perhaps even, seem to be playing with purpose. What was not always the case last season. All this makes a win by AS Roma rather likely and at +130 at Bet365 it’s also a value play. This belief is aided along by Parma’s poor start on the season and their lack of conviction.

Soccer Free Picks: AS Roma to win at +130 and by a score of  2-1  at +850
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