Soccer Picks Parma vs. Fiorentina

Mike Richardson

Thursday, February 20, 2014 5:00 PM UTC

Thursday, Feb. 20, 2014 5:00 PM UTC

It’s nice to look beyond the EPL for soccer winnings sometimes and your Humble Handicapper sees that there is money just lying on the ground waiting to be picked up over in Italy. One of the games that have caught his beady little betting eye is Parma v Fiorentina and he can almost taste the winnings already.

It’s a Monday night KO and Parma have the home advantage in this one.

Enough with setting the scene…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

Without any ado let’s get right to the head of the facts about what tends to happen when these two sides meet. Three of the last five have been draws (1-1 and 2-2 twice) if you think that is all the fact that you need to know you will then want to know that the best soccer odds on a draw in this Serie A match are 23/10, and 1-1 is at 6/1 (interestingly enough the shortest correct score odds) and 2-2 is at 15/1. Sat between the two is 0-0 at 10/1, but I think we’ll see goals in this game.

Head to head and toe to toe

Fiorentina have won two of the last five meetings, coming put on top 3-0 and 2-0 (both times at home). If you like the sound of those scores, but don’t care a fig for the fact that Fiorentina are playing AWAY you can get odds of 16/1 and 33/1 on those scores. But I strongly suggest that you don’t go near them.

The five last meetings between these two sides has seen 15 goals (and average of three per game). The two times (in the last five) that these sides have played at Parma has seen two score draws 1-1 and 2-2. When Fiorentina win they tend to win to nil, you can pick up Fiorentina winning to nil at best soccer odds of 4/1 (although Parma winning to nil is a wee bit smaller at 3/1). Now that might surprise you as (like me) you’ll know that Parma haven’t kept a clean sheet against Fiorentina since before September 2011.

I like going with the underdogs in this one.

Fiorentina are 4th in Italy’s top flight, 19 points off the top of the table, but as the top of the table is full of Juventus who are running away with the league (and are 2/17 to lift the league trophy) that’s not saying much. Fiorentina are six points shy of third place and a whopping ten off second place. It’s unlikely that Fiorentina will finish any higher in the table this term abut they are 1/4 with the sportsbooks to make a top four finish. Fiorentina have scored just 26 goals in their 24 game this term, a little over one per match, they’ve also conceded 17 (about 1.5 per match) hardly the most inspiring of stats.

The bookies like Parma, they have them winning this match at 7/5, a draw is at 11/5 and a Fiorentina win is at 2/1. It’s close odds so I feel it’s a safe time to go against the bookies with our soccer picks. Still, history says that the away side will triumph and if you don’t fancy the draw (a tough guy’s bet as your Humble Handicapper always says) go for the away win.  

Prediction: Fiorentina to win 2-1 at 10/1 with bet365.

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