Soccer Picks Newcastle United vs. Tottenham

Mike Richardson

Wednesday, February 12, 2014 1:21 PM GMT

Wednesday, Feb. 12, 2014 1:21 PM GMT

Two teams with very different 2014’s face off when Spurs travel to Newcastle in the EPL, it’s a bad time to be a Geordie but a very good time to listen to your Humble Handicapper, if you want to win some big bucks from this game.

Newcastle (the club) seem to have decided enough is enough for one season, and at the point where they should be pushing for (dare we say) a European spot, the powers that be have sold their best player and seem content to settle for where they are (8th) in the table.  The Geordies are very unlikely to finish higher, and may drop a position or two but that will be all. This means that when a settling-in-for–the-last-13-games side (that’s Newcastle) hosts a-three-points-off-fourth-and-just-two-points-ahead-of-sixth side (that’s Spurs) one side has so much more to gain. And if you listen to your Humble Handicapper’s tips you can gain too.

Enough with the hyphens…..WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

Tottenham’s manager; Tim Sherwood believes the race for a top-four Premier League finish will be "down to the wire" but the bookies have Spurs breaking the wire at 10/3. And it has to be mentioned that they are 250/1 to win the league. To put Spurs’ fortunes into some form of soccer odds perspective, Newcastle are Evens on a top 8 finish (behind Southampton at 8/11) but 1/16 on a top 10 finish. If that sort of talk isn’t clear enough for you, let me spell it out. Spurs have something to play for Newcastle don’t.

Table stakes

Spurs went above Everton into fifth place in the table thanks to their (sixpointer) win over the Toffees at White Hart Lane on Sunday and are now only three points behind Liverpool, who occupy the final Champions League spot. And Tottenham are better off than at the same stage of last season (the season where they finished 5th) as they have two points more. Newcastle finished last season 16th (on 41 points) and as they are now on 37 points and 12 points clear of that position, they have nothing to worry about in terms of improving on last year’s result. 

Basics

Spurs are 5/4 to take all three points, the bookies think Newcastle are in with a chance at 21/10 while a draw is at 12/5. A draw might not be a bad bet as the bookies also have the shortest correct score odds on the game ending 1-1 at 5/1, but they are closely followed by Spurs winning 1-0 at 8/1 and 2-1 at 9/1. The first shout that Newcastle get is winning 1-0 at 11/1 (then we see a goalless draw also at 11/1).

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Sadly I'm a glass half empty pessimist, and am going against Newcastle

The last three games between these two sides have all been decided by a single goal (twice for Newcastle) but Newcastle haven’t scored for three games!

If you want to guild the lily further and you (like your Humble Handicapper) know that Tottenham have not lost a Premier League game from a winning position this season and have won every league match in which Emmanuel Adebayor has scored you might like to add on Adebayor to open the scoring at 5/1 and Spurs to win both halves at 3/1.

The Magpies have not lost to Spurs at home in the league since 2004 so they are due one…

Prediction: Spurs win 2-1 available at best soccer odds of 9/1 with bet365.

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