Soccer Picks: Netherlands vs. Hungary

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, October 9, 2013 7:38 PM GMT

Wednesday, Oct. 9, 2013 7:38 PM GMT

Here’s a primer on the Group D fixture between Holland and Hungary set to kick off in Amsterdam complete with betting odds and free picks.

World Cup Qualifiers 

International football betting takes centre stage this week with the advent of another batch of World Cup 2014 qualifiers. 

Holland headed to Brazil 2014

World Cup 2010 runners up Holland and World Cup 2006 champions Italy became the first two European nations to qualify for the finals in Brazil last month. As such, the Dutch are fancy free ahead of this clash with Hungary, having no pressure to contend with save for entertaining the adoring Oranje public.

Hungary on the other hand face a must-win situation if they hope to keep their Brazil hopes alive. The race for second is coming to a head, as nipping at their heels (a mere point adrift) are both Turkey and Romania.

No doubt Hungary needs a big win in Amsterdam at the weekend and perhaps even some help from Group D stragglers Estonia and Andorra in their respective matches against Turkey and Romania in order to stay ahead of the race. But the task before them is huge. So huge it’s hard to imagine how they would stop the Oranje juggernaut, which boasts sparkling soccer baubles such as Van Persie and Robben, and especially on the away.

Holland vs. Hungary betting preview

Betting odds makers install Holland as the hot betting favourites at -275 at Bet365 to win outright and Hungary as the severe underdogs at +750. The draw meanwhile is listed at +375.

In some respect this is a bit of a mismatch: Hungary is no match for Holland’s quality and depth on paper. Therefore Holland leaps off the page as the only viable pick in the outright win market.

Now, some might argue that Holland has no vested interest in this match having already booked their ticket to Brazil. And because they are through, they might not play their little hearts out, thereby opening up the possibility Hungary as your pick would be the savvy move.

But that is not entirely true. There is the small matter of FIFA rankings on the table. Right now Holland is ranked 9th and a win against Hungary and then Turkey in their subsequent fixture will be crucial towards gaining valuable points that would push them up the ranks. A better ranking could see them earn a better draw in Brazil as well. So, Holland has every reason to play for the win still, make no mistake.

Now Hungary needs to win this match otherwise any playoff hope is surely done and done. That is motivation that cannot be underestimated. Moreover, they are flush off a 5-0 win over Estonia, an offensive account that sends them into this fixture on a wave of optimism.

Hungary will be presented with the tough task of defending against a very potent Dutch side but they can’t possibly hope to win just by defence. The only way Hungary can win this game however is to take an offensive approach against Holland, which could prove counterproductive as it would open up the pitch and expose them to the counterattack by the very opportunistic Dutch strikers. And seeing that Van Persie, Robben and De Jong are slated to be in action, it’s looking like that’s exactly what might happen.

[gameodds]36/244631/?r-1=43-19-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Soccer Verdict

While Hungary is a very good side Holland is that much better. Barring a bad day in the office (happens sometimes) Holland should run away winners in this match with relative ease. As such, Holland to win outright at -275 is the smart pick. Moreover, if they do field all their top players this match could result in a routing similar to their last meeting in Budapest that went 4:1 to the Dutch. And adding the Over 2.5 at -188 as an additional soccer pick would add overall value.

Soccer Free Picks: Holland to win outright at -275 and Over 2.5 at -188

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