Soccer Picks: Napoli vs. Juventus

Mike Richardson

Wednesday, February 27, 2013 10:16 PM UTC

Wednesday, Feb. 27, 2013 10:16 PM UTC

Take a look at this top of the table clash in Italy’s Serie A on Friday when second-place Napoli host table topping Juventus.

Juventus are enjoying a six-point cushion at the top of the Italian Premier League while their closest rivals, and only real competition for the trophy are Napoli, and I do feel (after this coming game) all bets on Juventus winning the league will be off. At present Juventus are 1/5 to win the Scudetto while Napoli are very much second best at 4/1.

Enough about the title race…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

There’s a clear favourite with this match as Juventus are 6/4 favourites on the soccer odds to win it, while Napoli are 9/5. You could also pick up 9/4 on the game ending drawn.

Honours even?

A draw is not a bad bet as the bookies have the shortest correct score odds on 1-1 at 5/1.  0-0 looks considerably less likely at 9/1 and stay well away from 2-2 at 14/1.

While the smart money is on the league leaders winning this match it is worth mentioning that Napoli’s home record is slightly better than Juventus’ away record this season. The home side have won nine, games drawn three and lost one of 13 games, scoring 30 goals and conceding just 11.

Those sort of odds would suggest a 3-1 win for Napoli which is offered by the bookies at 22/1. Juventus’ away record reads eight victories two draws and two defeats scoring 23 goals and conceding 10. Crunching numbers on those goals for and against would suggest a 2-1 victory for Juventus something which is offered by the bookies at 17/2.

However before you start throwing money around at Napoli, here’s a few facts that you should know.

Juventus have won three out of the last five meetings between these two sides including the last meeting which was a 2-0 home victory, offered up at 11/1 this time and the time before that was a 4-2 victory at 66/1.

The last time Napoli beat Juventus was a 2-0 victory, back in May 2012 and a repeat of that score is available at 14/1. There's only been one draw in the last five games between these two sides with a 3-3 way back in November 2011, betting on that score is available at 50/1.

All sorts of history

That all makes very interesting reading, but the most significant thing ahead of this match is that Juventus have won four of their last five games, scoring 10 goals and conceding just two. While Napoli  are on a five match winless run in all competitions, with three draws and two defeats they've also been outscored 6-1 in their last five games and haven't found the back of the net since 9th February when they were involved in a 1-1 draw with Lazio.

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Quite Simply.

Bet on a Juventus win for your soccer picks here and because they've scored three goals in two of their last three games I’m going for a similar scoreline in this match.

Prediction: 3-0 to Juventus available at 35/1 with Paddy Power.

Juventus are so hot at the moment that even AC Milan vice-president Adriano Galliani is certain that they will keep the Serie A title this season, "Will Juve win Serie A? Absolutely. That's what I think," the 68-year-old said.

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