Soccer Picks for Napoli vs. Internazionale in Serie A

Nila Amerova

Friday, December 13, 2013 4:51 PM GMT

Napoli take on Internazionale in Serie A week 16, a clash that is currently trading across sportsbooks. Here’s a primer on this highly anticipated tilt complete with value soccer picks.

Napoli look to bounce back

Napoli are still smarting from the cruel twist of fate that saw them out of Champions League and into Europe League for the rest of the season despite beating Arsenal in Stadio San Paolo on Wednesday night.

Napoli came very close to advancing into the knockout stages when they beat the Gunners 2-0 but for Borussia Dortmund beating Marseille 2-1 in the section’s other match, which saw the Bundesliga side clinch top spot and Arsenal advance on a better head-to-head in second place.

Disappointing though it was, Rafa Benitez and his side must regroup and refocus their attention on domestic action – no sense in crying over spilt milk, so they say – as they have an important tilt against Internazionale at the weekend.

Napoli, currently third in the table on the back of a 10-2-3 record and 32 points, are eight points adrift of Juventus and five points behind Roma. They can’t afford to slip further behind in the title race otherwise the gap will prove too big to overcome. As it stands they are already a long shot at +1000 to win Serie A this season at Bet365.

Happily, Napoli’s stock in sports betting markets remains intact as far as this next match is concerned. They enter as the firm -110 favourites to win outright at Bet365 in Sunday’s date with Inter.

What’s more, home form has paid dividends for Napoli where they are 5-2-1 to date, 4-1-1 in their last six – the lone defeat coming to Parma on November 23. That it was three days before a crucial Champions League date with Borussia Dortmund surely had a hand in Benitez’s game-time decisions, which probably cost them against Parma and earned them their first home defeat. Little did it help, though, as Napoli went on to a 3-1 defeat in Germany and, immediately afterwards, settled on a 3-3 draw to Udinese.

Internazionale on good form

Internazionale are sat in fourth place with a 7-7-1 record through 15 laps and 28 points. A win over Napoli will not advance their placement but it will go towards closing the gap on their Southern rivals.

Inter have been solid this season and not unlike league leaders Juventus they boast just one defeat on the season as a whole. The difference between Inter and Juventus, which correlates to the 12-point gap between the pair, is their win-to-draw ratio – Inter have paid the price for too many draws this season.  

Still Inter are unbeaten on the road with a 3-4-0 record and they’ll be looking to extend that mark against Napoli this weekend despite the odds that list them at +300 soccer odds to win outright or therein depending on the sportsbooks of choice. And when Napoli are stuttering across all competitions, the strain of too many campaigns catching up to them and recent disappointment clearly evident, don’t Inter have a prime opportunity to clinch a road win.

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Soccer Betting Verdict: Napoli are listed as the firm favourites to win outright but given their exodus from Champions League, the hangover might be too great to overcome before Sunday. This gives Inter wiggle room on the win in our opinion and that’s why we’re banking on their tempting odds to win outright on the road at +300 at Bet365. As well given both teams frees-coring ways, we also recommend adding the Over 2.5 at -125 to your soccer picks in this battle.

Soccer Free Picks Inter to win outright at +300; Over 2.5 at -125