Soccer Picks Napoli vs. Genoa

Mike Richardson

Thursday, February 20, 2014 2:48 PM UTC

Thursday, Feb. 20, 2014 2:48 PM UTC

There’s money, money, money to be won, won, won in the Italian Serie A this weekend, and you are lucky enough to be privy to your Humble Handicapper’s top soccer picks that show you were it is. One place with plenty of ca$h knocking about is Napoli V Genoa.

Italy is known for a great many things but this weekend your Humble Handicapper can only think of it in terms of money to be won. This is a tasty little clash with cash to be scooped up by the armful if you listen to your Humble Handicapper’s top soccer picks. But before I explain where said wonga is, let’s take a look at some of the more long term bets that puts these two teams into some form of perspective.

Napoli run as low as 28/1 to win the Italian top flight this term while Genoa are one of many also rans on 1000/1. There’s a clear top dog in that stat don’t you think? If that’s too complex for you might like to consider that Napoli are 1/50 on a top four finish and Genoa are 14/5.

Enough with the comparison betting…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

The two last meetings between these two sides have both ended 2-0 to Napoli (one home and one away) and a repeat of that score is offered up a t best soccer odds of 6/1. That's the joint shortest correct score odds out there, alongside 1-0 (to Napoli), in fact looking at JUST the correct score odds shows us that Napoli are the bookies best boys. They have Napoli winning by eight different scores, up to and including 4-1 at 20/1 before they have Genoa winning. The shortest correct score odds on a Genoa win are n 1-0 at 28/1. Did someone say foregone conclusion?

Recent form

Napoli have come out on top four times (rom the last five meetings) and Genoa’s only victory was a 3-2 (home) win back in Jan 2012. What’s more Napoli have outscored Genoa 16 goals to 6 in their last five meetings. Napoli also has current form on their side with three straight wins. Genoa have a very chequered run of late, with two wins, two draws and one defeat.

Napoli have also kept two clean sheets in their last two games, winning 2-0 against Sassuolo and 3-0 against Roma. Genoa have kept two clean sheets n their last five, and they were both games that they went on to win. So, if they’re not going to win, they’re not going to keep a clean sheet (d’uh).

Napoli winning is at best soccer odds of 2/7 while a draw is at 4/1 and Genoa winning is way out on 11/1.

Long story short

Napoli are going to win this one, the only question is by how much?

Prediction: Napoli win 3-1 available at best soccer odds of 11/1 with William Hill.

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