If you followed your Humble Handicapper's betting tips, you’ll have your Royal Baby winnings to play with, so why not increase your stash with a couple of bets on the semi-finals of the Gold Cup? Read on to find out which team makes for a better sports pick.
Panama may look like they're playing at being champions already with the stats that they posted against Cuba: 10 shots on goal against just 2 from the Cubans, 6 wide shots against 1 and 62% ball possession.
But Mexico are no Cuba (just tell the USA that). Mexico had a similar 10 shots on goal against Trinidad versus 6 from the opposing team; and the wide shots were even closer at 7 -6 favoring Mexico. The possession was a tight one too, at 61% to Mexico.
Blah, blah, blah, STATS…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?
I feel that this game will likely be a very close run and as much as I hate backing a draw, that’s exactly what I'm going to do on this occasion. Check out the soccer betting odds on 0-0 at +800 (but don’t bet on it) 1-1 is at +550, 2-2 is at +1900, but I can’t see it being a knife edge thriller of a 3-3 even at +10,000.
At this stage, it’s a worth noting that the bookies have the USA at a wild favourite of -133 to win the CONCACAF Gold Cup, Mexico are silver-medalled at +250, Panama are the only wild bet worth backing at +700 while Honduras are the long shots at +1100.
The bookies seem to think this will be a low scoring game and they have the shortest correct score odds on 1-0 (to Mexico) followed by 1-1 and then 2-0 to Mexico (at +800).
A man, a plan, a canal…Panama!
Panama booked their place in the semis thanks to a stoning good 6-1 victory over Cuba. Both might make damn fine cigars, but the Panamanians did their brethren no favours; they may have let in the first goal 21 minutes on, but they scored and scored after that. In fact, I'm very tempted to say that Panama will NOT keep a clean sheet but may well take the game. You can get odds of +1400 on Panama winning 2-1, +4000 on 3-1 and +8000 on 4-1. By comparison, a Panamanian win at 1-0 is at +850 and 2-0 is at +1800.
It was a considerably quieter affair for Mexico as they looked to be held 0-0 by Trinidad and Tobago, up until the 84' mark when Raúl Jiménez popped up and scored the only goal of the game. Mexico winning by the same 1-0 scoreline is at +550 while a repeat of Panama’s 6-1 victory is at +50,000. What does that tell you?
The bookies reckon it’ll be a normal day at the office for Mexico as they have them winning both halves at +210, while draw / draw is at +400. A draw at the 45' with a Mexico victory is also more fancied than a Panama victory at +375, while a Panama / Panama result is at +550.
The basics have a draw at +240, a Mexico win at -105 and a Panama win at +333. Betting a bit smarter we’ve got Mexico to qualify at -275 while Panama are at +187. Therefore, using your super smart betting brain, you’ll see that I am about to suggest you back a draw, but a Mexico “win” for your soccer picks.
Soccer Pick: 1-1 draw at +600 at William Hill (Mexico qualifies to the Gold Cup Final).
What do you think the upcoming Gold Cup Final will look like? Share your thoughts on our soccer forum!