Soccer Picks: Messi & Barcelona Should Win Over Atletico Madrid To Regain Confidence Lost Against Real Madrid

Bernardo Baltazar

Monday, April 4, 2016 6:34 PM UTC

Monday, Apr. 4, 2016 6:34 PM UTC

With just 72 hours difference from ‘El Clásico’, Barcelona hosts another Madrid team but this time, a win and becoming the soccer pick is the only possible result.

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid reaches this game after two perfect results for them. First, they were amazing on La Liga, crushing Betis by 5 – 1, an unusual big margin win on Simeone’s team. The other result was Barcelona’s defeat against Real Madrid, which gives them some hope of winning La Liga due to their 6 points gap and the 21 points in dispute.

We don’t want to repeat ourselves on this preview but the truth is that Atletico will use the same approach they used against PSV on the road, which ended in a draw with few goal opportunities as we predicted at the time.

Atletico’s main goal is to bring a result that allows them to fight for this tie and that result is a draw or a defeat by just one goal, preferentially with a goal scored at Camp Nou. Good news for Atletico’s defense with the return of Godin after some weeks out due to injury, a player that can be considered the key of their defense.

Must Read: How To Predict The Champions' Futures

Barcelona showed this weekend that they are humans and that the MSN team can also lose a game. Looking at the goal opportunities of both teams and the fact that Sergio Ramos should have been sent off earlier, we have to say that the defeat against Real Madrid wasn’t a fair one, with the draw being the result that would fit better.

Luis Enrique’s team will present themselves at full strength with all players available and with high levels of confidence because the loss against Real Madrid was just a small setback in an incredible season. With a high percentage of ball possession, which will force Atletico’s players to run a lot during the match, the goal opportunities should appear, especially on the 2nd half where the Atletico defensive wall should break allowing Barcelona to create more goal opportunities.


Betting Overview
Since 2015, Barcelona won all the six games against Atletico, which shows the Blaugrana’s superiority against Simeone’s team. We don’t expect an open match by Atletico, even if they start losing on the first minutes they should keep the same strategy but on the other side, Barcelona will try to be the soccer pick and solve this tie with a comfortable home win. As we said previously the defeat vs Real Madrid will just give them more strength and motivation to do well on this UCL contest.

Messi, Suarez and Neymar are incredibly hard to stop and the sportsbooks know it, defending themselves very well with a low price for Bacelona’s straight win, which doesn’t give us much value to play on it. The goals market is probably the one with highest value, with the over 2.5 priced above even, which is a good price on a match where Barcelona wants to score at least two goals while Atletico will try to score at least one in order to have any chances at Vicente Calderón.

The markets we’ll explore on our bet slip for this Champions League game are: Barcelona Asian Handicap -1.00 (which will be voided in case of a victory by one goal and fully won if Barcelona wins by 2 or more gals) and also the over 2.25, -114 and -116 respectively at Pinnacle Sports. If you want a higher soccer odd, we suggest combining Barcelona & Over 2.5 and you’ll find that bet on Bet365 at +150!

We always keep an eye on the goal scorers market when Barcelona plays and is possible to find all three Barcelona strikers priced above even. In that case, we’ll take the little magician, Messi, to score at any time +110 at William Hill which is a great price when compared to -149 at Bet365.


Free Soccer Picks 
Barcelona AH -1.00 at -114 Pinnacle Sports
Over 2.25 at -116 Pinnacle Sports
Messi to score at any time at +110 William Hill

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3001577, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

comment here