Soccer Picks: Manchester Derby Odds & Tips

Mike Richardson

Friday, April 5, 2013 5:29 PM GMT

Friday, Apr. 5, 2013 5:29 PM GMT

The Manchester Derby may not be a title decider this time round, but you can still win plenty of money if you follow your Humble Handicapper’s EPL betting tips.


Manchester Derby

Before a ball had been kicked this season, the second Manchester derby was probably being talked about as a title deciding moment, much as it was last term. However Manchester United look to have pretty much wrapped up the league and therefore all City can play for is bragging rights and three (consolation) points.

Manchester United may have been knocked out of the FA Cup by Chelsea on Monday but they are well and truly running away with the league. They are 15 points ahead of their cross city rivals and have a goal difference that is 10 goals better off. That doesn't look conclusive enough for you, with just eight games left to play you should know that the bookmakers have Manchester United winning the league at 1/750 soccer odds and City retaining the title at 119/1.

It also worth noting that Manchester United have only dropped points once at home all season and have scored 39 goals and conceded just 15 at Old Trafford. By comparison City have won less than half of their away games this term drawing five and losing three of the 15 games they've played away from home. What's more city have conceded 15 away goals and scored just 20 this season.

Enough with the home and away…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

It's worth noting that despite the fact that Manchester United are in a better league position City have won four of their last five games while United have two wins, two defeats and one draw in their last five. What's more City have kept four clean sheets from their last five games and have scored 12 goals in that run and conceded just two, against Everton.

United have only scored five goals in their last five games but have conceded five as well, in the same run Manchester United's only two victories have been by a 1-0 scoreline and both have been against sides at the wrong end of the English Premier League, Sunderland and Reading. City managed to score four goals in their last league game against Newcastle in a match which was as one-sided as your Humble Handicapper thought it would be .

The bookies have a draw available at 12/5 while a home victory is available at 6/5 and an away victory is 9/4 is worth noting that in four out of the last five meetings between these two sides it has been the away side that has come out on top. It's also worth noting that there has only been one clean sheets sheet in the last five meetings between these two sides and there has been a grand total of 22 goals scored in the last five head-to-head meetings.

[gameodds]2/224093/43-19-999996-349-238/us[/gameodds]

I'm tempted to say City will win, partially out of sympathy for the Citizens and partially because the last time that these sides met at Old Trafford they were 1-6 winners, but as City winning by that score is at 400/1 I don't think it's likely to happen. A draw would probably please United a lot more and would be typical of the way this season is likely to end, with a whimper compared to the bang of last season. I'm tempted spread the money around a little bit on 1-1 or 2-2 at 7/1 and 15/1, but I wouldn't criticise you if you just plumped for a United victory for this soccer pick, especially as the bookies have them winning both halves at 5/2.

Free Soccer picks: A 2-2 draw available at 15/1 with Bookmaker.

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