Betting on the winner
Manchester City look to bounce back after a disappointing loss to Aston Villa at the weekend, a match they utterly dominated but inexplicably lost in the end. Well, not so inexplicably – *coughJoeHartcough* really. The keepers’ mistake practically gift wrapped Aston Villa’s three points and, in turn, secured a second loss on the season for his side, sending them from fourth spot down to seventh in the table.
Fact: Hart has been rather sloppy of late so he’d better have his wits about him when Romelu Lukaku, who is proving to be a profitable loan from Chelsea for Everton, lurks in the box. The Belgian is right dangerous and could be the difference maker in the Everton clash that bookies are firmly cornering in Man City’s camp.
Man City are currently the bookies favourites to win the league title at +275 odds at Bet365 yet they consistently fail to hold their own in the top four so far this season. Certainly, that will need to change if they are to remain the value pick in the futures market.
Going into week 7, Man City boast a 3-1-2 mark, which includes a 3-0-0 mark at home and a 0-1-2 mark on the road. They have the beleaguered task of trying to hand Everton a first defeat on the season. Fortunately for Man City, this fixture is at the Etihad where they have been perfect this season, including a sensational 4-1 win over Man U. Common wisdom suggests they are primed to accomplish the task. Sportsboooks across the board tip City as the hot favourites at -150 odds to win outright.
Nonetheless Everton will fancy their chances even if they are at the significant disadvantage to win this game, listed at soccer odds of +400 to win outright at Bet365. Currently, they are the only side in top-flight action that remains undefeated through six laps with a 3-3-0 mark, which includes a 2-1-0 mark at home and a 1-2-0 mark on the road.
In fact, Everton have the same record 3 W and 3D after six games as their last title-winning season in 1986-87. That’s hard to ignore and confidence like that ahead of a clash at the Etihad could ensure they will at least take away something, even if it is only a draw tipped at +280 at Bet365.
Keep in mind as well Man City have European distractions this week to contend with, a rather big distraction in fact with a date with Bayern Munich on Wednesday that surely will occupy most of their preparations.
To the extent that it would affect their chances at the weekend? Probably not because Manuel Pellegrini is no stranger to managing campaigns on several fronts, but it does lend Everton a slight edge in terms of preparation and rest that could correlate to a point-making trip to Man City.
Soccer Betting Verdict: Sky Blues are a real force to be reckoned with at home and given their recent debacle against Aston Villa, Pelligrini will be expecting a big result from them. And that’s why the balance tips the scale towards a Manchester City win and why we’re plumping down to their -150 odds at Bet365 as our value choice for our soccer picks.
Roberto Martinez has done wonders with the Toffees, changing their style of play towards a more free-flowing attacking football that is delightful to watch. If he persists with this approach when they travel to Man City we could have an intriguing, highly-offensive game with plenty of goals to plump down to on Saturday, which is an additional sports pick that can be backed at Over 2.5 at -138 at Bet365. Having said that Everton shouldn’t be underestimated and this match could go against the grain so for the neutral punter shading in the draw at +280 might be an option to consider as well.Soccer Free Picks: Man City to win outright at -150 and the Over 2.5 at -138.