Soccer Picks: Mainz vs. Bayer Leverkusen

Mike Richardson

Friday, September 20, 2013 9:22 PM GMT

Friday, Sep. 20, 2013 9:22 PM GMT

Achtung baby! There’s money over in that there German Bundesliga! And your Humble Handicapper sees more money out there than you can shake a German sausage at when Mainz hosts Bayern Leverkusen!


Saturday’s game sees both sides take to the pitch after defeats. Mainz are in real danger of hitting a three game losing streak while Bayern can take solace that they are  looking at three wins from five (but no draws). The simple bets for simple bettors have a home win at 5/2, a draw at 12/5 and an away win at 11/10 for our soccer picks.

Enough with the simples…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

It’s gonna be close but the favourites will win. That’s where the money is if you disagree, please don't be shy about it…take to the SBR Forum and tells us all exactly who’s gonna win!

Head to head, Mainz have two wins from the last five and there has just for the sake of parity there has been one draw in the mix too. Bayern have won two of the last five meeting between these sides and have outscored Mainz eight goals to five. That sort of number crunching would give you 2-1 to the visitors, something available at 7/1.

What there hasn’t been is many high scoring matches. With 13 goals in total over five games … that’s less than three per game.

Despite the fact that Leverkusen lost their last game that was an away defeat to Man Utd. in the Champions League, some that was predicted by your Humble Handicapper earlier in the month.

Leverkusen did get two priceless away goals at old Trafford, so I hardly think they’re gonna be lambs when they visit Mainz. They’ve scored nine goals in their last four games and have only been shut out twice in their last five.

 

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Leverkusen Will score and They Will Win.

Mainz have scored eight in their last five, but they scored just one goal each in their last two matches. I’ll give them a consolation goal but just one.

If you think it’s gonna be close across both halves go for draw – draw available at xxx, but I’m not betting on that. I’m backing the game being tied on the 45 as it’s gonna be close, but still with Bayern coming out in top at 9/2. Drawn on the 45 and Mainz winning at the 90 is at 13/2 but don’t bother with that.

However if you must bet on a draw go for 2-2 at 14/1 betting odds, as that was the score back in October 2012, But avoid 0-0 at 11/1 and 1-1 at 7/1 and especially 3-3 at 40/1.

Free Soccer Picks: 2-1 to Leverkusen available at 9/1 with Ladbrokes.

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