Soccer Picks: Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Dortmund

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, November 27, 2013 7:11 PM GMT

Wednesday, Nov. 27, 2013 7:11 PM GMT

Flush off Champions League victory Borussia Dortmund descend on Mainz 05 filled with confidence. Here’s a primer on this much-anticipated Bundesliga clash complete with choice soccer picks.

Mainz disadvantaged hosts

Mainz 05 have enjoyed a descent campaign in Germany’s top-flight league, collecting 19 points through 13 rounds on the back of a 6-1-6 record which sees them in seventh place ahead of week 14. Recently, they are after back-to-back wins over Eintracht Frankfurt at home and Werder Bremen on the road. Their home record so far stands at 4-1-2 and their record in the last five games both home and away reads WWLWL.

Mainz 05 stands to potentially climb to fifth spot in the table if they beat Borussia Dortmund but what are the chances they’ll turn the hefty soccer betting odds in their favour?

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Mainz 05 have enjoyed a measure of success in order to achieve a position inside the Top 10. They are good at grinding results against Bundesliga minnows however against the elite they are suspect. Already this season they’ve enjoyed heavy defeats at the hands of Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen, both times losing 4-1. Verdict: offense is rendered ineffective against the big clubs and defence is sorely tested and found wanting.

So it should come as no surprise that ahead of their date with Borussia Dortmund – the third in the trifecta of elite teams in Germany – they are listed at the significant disadvantage at +400 to win outright at Bet365.

It doesn’t augur well either that Borussia Dortmund seems to be back on track after a spate of disappointments which included defeats to Arsenal, Wolfsburg and Bayern Munich. The Black and Yellow bounced back with a convincing 3-1 performance over Napoli in Champions League on Tuesday, on the back of which they advanced into second place in the ‘Group of Death’ and kept hope alive for an enduring European campaign this season.

Such a significant victory should spur the heavy sports betting favourites Borussia Dortmund, listed at -175 to win outright at Bet365, to another convincing performance at the expense of Mainz 05. Or so is the widespread expectation.

Granted Borussia Dortmund’s sublime record in Bundesliga was tarnished recently by a 2-1 defeat to Wolfsburg on the road and a 3-0 routing by Bayern Munich at home – a spate of results that saw them drop to third place in the table, overtaken by Bayer Leverkusen. That however shouldn’t detract from their favourable odds here, not least because they are after an important win over Napoli.

Overall, Borussia boast one of the best records in Bundesliga at 9-1-2 and which includes a 3-1-2 record on the road. Where they dominate most effectively is on offense with 32 goals this season through 13 laps – the highest tally in the league.

Soccer Betting Verdict

Widespread betting opinion is leaning towards Borussia Dortmund in this game and for good reason. They have momentum following the win over Napoli and the motivation to get back on track in the race for domestic silverware this season. As such, Borussia Dortmund to win outright at -175 is a good soccer pick. Where the added value can be found is in the totals markets. Given the pedigree of Borussia’s offense they are sure to score in abundance. Moreover, Mainz 05‘s defence is hardly going to be trustworthy against the likes of Lewandowski and Co.

Soccer Free Picks: Borussia Dortmund to win outright at -175; Over 2.5 at -188

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