Soccer Picks: Low-Scoring Expected Between Barcelona Superstars & Levante

Nikki Adams

Thursday, September 17, 2015 8:47 PM GMT

Barcelona look to extend their winning start on the season with a fourth straight win over Levante this weekend. Join us as we preview this La Liga clash and serve up soccer picks.

Barcelona (3-0-0) Flying High?
Things are as they should be in Spain’s top flight. Or are they, really?

Barcelona, defending champions and top favorites to win a second straight La Liga title, are sat atop the domestic tree with a perfect 3-0-0 mark. They opened the season with a workman’s 1-0 victory over Athletic Club on the away, edged Malaga 1-0 at Camp Nou and overcame Atletico Madrid 2-1 in the nation’s capital.

Barcelona’s perfect start to the season is underscored by one simple fact: they are the only team in Spanish top-flight to not have dropped any points in the early goings. Real Madrid are sat in second place, two-points behind Barcelona, with a 2-1-0 record and seven points, level on points with Celta de Vigo, Villarreal and Eibar.

That said it’s not been without some ominous signs coming from Barcelona’s camp: they are struggling for goals through three rounds, having scored just 4 and conceded 1. That’s an average of 1.33 goals per game scored. Very un-Barcelona numbers.

Messi, Suarez and Neymar have scored just five goals combined – Messi (2), Suarez (2) and Neymar 1 in the last six games, going back to the first leg of the Spanish Super Cup in mid-August. A far cry from the combined triple-digit deposit of last season that saw Barcelona deservedly win the title.

By comparison, Real Madrid, shortly after opening on a scoreless draw to Sporting Gijon on match day 1, have found sensational form, reeling off two wins and shipping eleven goals, all while conceding none. Bale, Benzema, Rodriguez and Ronaldo have revitalised Real Madrid in domestic action behind the 5-0 win over Real Betis and 6-0 win over Espanyol (in which Ronaldo scored five-goals, one short of a double-hat-trick). And they carried that form into midweek Champions League action where they crushed a respectable Shakhtar Donetsk 4-0, largely down to a second straight hat-trick by Ronaldo in as many games.

Speaking of midweek Champions League action saw Barcelona settle on a 1-1 draw with Roma, meaning the Spanish champions have seen four of their last five games cash on the UNDER 2.5. The last time a game went OVER was the 2-1 win in Madrid. Prior to that it was the first leg of the Spanish Super Cup that yielded a 4-0 score line, but –shockingly – Barcelona were on the receiving end of it.

 

Barcelona vs. Levante, Matchup, Soccer Odds and Picks:
The Catalan giants will look to maintain the gap between themselves and their main rivals Real Madrid when they take on middleweights (at best in Spanish top flight) Levante at Camp Nou. Levante are sat 14th in the table, but without a win through three rounds (0-2-1). They are riding a two-game undefeated streak, having held Las Palmas and Sevilla to draws, respectively, after opening on a 2-1 loss to Celta de Vigo. However, that run of mildly positive form is in very real danger of ending.

Few doubt Barcelona will win this game, but if you think betting on the win holds any value then think again. At whopping -1600 soccer odds, it’s not worth the tickle unless you have silly money. The upset-mongers might fancy Levante at their absurd +2800 soccer odds to win outright or, even, the draw at +1100, but the chances of Levante gaining a result – be it a point or maximum points – at Camp Nou is slim to none. Not to mention beggars belief.

Your best soccer pick here harks back to the rather stunted offense of Barcelona that has half-heartedly been doing the rounds in Spain. Somewhat surprisingly odds makers favor the OVER at -500 soccer odds, despite recent evidence that says otherwise (4 out of the last 5 games have gone UNDER 2.5).

Historical trends point to a lopsided matchup, which makes this soccer betting outlook at least understandable. Barcelona beat Levante last season 10-0 combined, as well they defeated them 5-1 in Copa del Rey. Only one of their last six games hit the UNDER, which was a 1-1 draw in Levante in the 2013-2014 season, albeit it did come after a 7-0 mauling at Camp Nou. (Yikes)

In spite of the head-to-head trend between these two outfits, we’re still going with the UNDER 2.5 at +333 soccer odds. This meeting comes early in the season when Messi, Suarez and Neymar’s legs all seem to be still in holiday mode. Fortunately, the defence is stout. What’s more, not only have Barcelona struggled to score goals in the first three games of the season, but aslo Levante have shipped just two goals and conceded three in three games. With both teams boasting rather low numbers on the score sheet, this game has a very good chance of going UNDER in our opinion, which is an opinion that goes against odds makers’ expectations, mind.

 Free Soccer Pick: UNDER 2.5 +333 at Bet365

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