Soccer Picks: Lazio vs. Fiorentina Serie A Picks

Richard O'Hagan

Friday, October 4, 2013 8:19 PM GMT

It is fifth against sixth in Serie A this Sunday, meaning that there’s some good soccer betting value to be had betting on this match.

One of the nice things about Italian football in recent years is that it has become so much more homogenised. Gone are the days of Juventus and the Milan clubs completely dominating, meaning that there are many more games with good value in them for the betting public. This is one such match, as two sides with very similar records meet on Sunday evening.

[gameodds]10/246260/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Both sides have won half of their games this season, with Fiorentina occupying fifth spot by virtue of one drawn game more, effectively Monday night’s 2-2 home stalemate against Parma. Lazio, though, are unbeaten at the Stadio Olympico this season, scoring eight goals and conceding just two. Fiorentina, meanwhile, have won two of their three away games this season, including a 5-1 victory in Genoa, and their only road defeat was a 2-1 reverse in Milan against Internatzionale.

Lazio start the game as sportsbook favorites, best priced 2.5 with Coral. Fiorentina are not far behind them, though, with Bet365 offering 3.1 on them winning. The real surprise, though, is that the draw here is at soccer odds as long as 3.4. You have an unbeaten home side against a team with an impressive away record, and both sides have had seasons which are comparable in almost every other respect, too. That suggests that the draw is the more likely outcome here. But does that mean we should be eager to back this option with our sports picks?

If you want to look for slightly longer odds for your soccer picks on this game then the half time/full time market is where to go. Betting the game to be level at both the interval and the end gets you 5.5 at Bet365, with any other combination resulting in a draw at even longer odds.