Soccer Picks: Lazio vs. Fiorentina in Serie A

Mike Richardson

Thursday, March 7, 2013 5:00 PM GMT

Yet more European action in Italy this week and when Lazio takes on Fiorentina, and if you follow our soccer picks winning money from the bookmakers is just a click away.

It's often been said that football is a funny old game and this Italian match could be the very definition of an oddball encounter but that's no reason to worry about what you're putting your money on. Just follow soccer betting picks and tips and you should be laughing all the way to the back.

[gameodds]10/220838/43-999997-999996-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Enough with the big talk…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

Let's take a look at the table, where Lazio are in fifth place tied on points with fourth place Inter Milan and just one point behind third-place AC Milan. Lazio have no real chance of catching Juventus who are sat on top of the table on 59 points, however they certainly could snatch third place, and the three points that they will be hoping to get off Fiorentina could play a massive role in that. Right behind them sit Fiorentina who are just two points shy of Lazio with 45 points after 27 games. It's often said, and it’s true that games like this are worth six points. They have plenty to play for these sides and I can't see either side going gently towards the final whistle.

What’s gonna happen

Lazio have been a pretty solid at home so far this season they won 10 of their 14 games losing two and drawing just to be scored 25 goals and let in 11 those stats alone would say he should back a Lazio victory which is available at 6/4 and you should go for a 2-1 score which is also available at 8/1.

Fiorentina have travelled considerably worse, and they've won three and drawn three and lost seven games which is why the odds on them going home with three after this game are at 9/5. However there is a slim glimmer of hope looking at the form book in that Fiorentina have scored 18 goals and conceded 22 over these away games which would point towards an 1-1 draw, something which soccer odds makers are offering at 5/1.

I don't think either side would be satisfied with a draw, as there are seven Italian teams on 40 or more points, including the two that clash in this match and the race for third in the Italian table is still going to be very hotly contested and a draw, which is offered by most online sportsbooks at 11/5 would look like two points dropped for either side.

Looking at the last five head-to-head meetings between these two sides makes very interesting reading as Lazio have come out on top for times and the home side has come out on top 3 times.  However the most recent match was a 2-0 victory to Florence. Also Fiorentina have a slightly better run of form at present winning three games out of their last five and scoring nine goals while conceding just six. Lazio have two victories and a draw from their last five and scored just seven goals in a run and conceded nine. Interesting note though that Lazio when lost they failed to score and they won when they kept a clean sheet. But just to muddy the waters further it worth noting on three different occasions Lazio has conceded three goals in their last five games.

I'm never home advantage and against the bookies I'm going to Lazio don't think it's going to be a particularly impressive match but I think the home side will come out on top.

Soccer Picks & Predictions: Lazio when 2-1 available at 8/1 with Bet Fred.