Soccer Picks: La Liga Betting Futures

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, March 19, 2014 7:26 PM GMT

Wednesday, Mar. 19, 2014 7:26 PM GMT

The title race is heating up in La Liga between Real Madrid, Atletico Madrid and Barcelona. Who will emerge victorious by season end? Find out which side the bookies favour and what our soccer-betting verdict is.

Real Madrid pulling ahead in title race
Real Madrid are steadily pulling ahead in the title race, their futures betting odds swelling in proportion. As things currently stand, the league leaders from the nation capital are the prohibitive favourites at -400 futures betting odds at Bet365 to win outright. But Atletico Madrid (three points adrift) and Barcelona (four points adrift) are giving them a serious run for their money with just under a dozen games left on the season.

Of the chasing pair however sportsbooks are leaning conspicuously towards Barcelona with +400 futures betting odds. The ‘other’ Madrid continues to be snubbed with +1000 futures betting odds, a frustrating occurrence this season where they have been concerned. It seems odds makers aren’t buying what they are selling. Old habits ‘die hard’ as they say but does that mean they are being severely underestimated at the expense of traditional favourites Real Madrid and Barcelona.

 

Top 4 Finish

While the battle for the title offers plenty angles for profit with all three clubs presenting credible threats, the battle for a Top 4 finish serves up five options Athletic Bilbao, Real Sociedad, Villarreal, Sevilla and Valencia, but, arguably, only four out of the five present real value.

Bilbao in pole position with a six-point edge over Real Sociedad are tipped as the firm favourites at -275, a fitting assessment as it would take a sudden inexplicable dip in form to wrestle the fourth spot from their firm grasp on it. But it’s not impossible.

Real Sociedad are deemed the next best option at +450 across sportsbooks and a recent victory over Valencia in the last lap helped to advance their cause. In fact, Real Sociedad leapfrogged Villarreal in the table following their aforementioned victory coupled with Villarreal’s 2-0 defeat to Granada.

Still, Villarreal are very much in it at +600 futures betting odds. As well, Sevilla are still in reasonable play at +1000 and lending their odds value is a recent upsurge in form, which includes a five-game unbeaten streak. Valencia, by contrast, are a long shot soccer pick at +6600 – they are 15 points off pace, oscillating on inconsistent outputs from week to week in La Liga betting.

 

To Be Relegated
Real Betis, propping up the league with 19 points, are facing almost certain relegation, a happenstance that is trading at prohibitive -2000 futures betting odds. The remaining relegation spots however are yet undecided, teetering between nine teams separated by just six points. And if the sports betting markets were any indication, it’s up in the air, unclear which teams will survive and which will be relegated.

Indeed, the battle at the bottom of the table for La Liga survival is just as intriguing as the battle at the top of the table, making La Liga betting this season more entertaining than ever before. Earmarked for relegation are Almeria (-125), Real Valladolid (+188) and Getafe (+250) – the three clubs hobnobbing with Real Betis at the bottom of the table.

Somewhat surprisingly Elche, sat in 13th place with 30 points, have been thrown into the mix at +188 futures betting odds. Odds that are shorter than those of teams currently ranked lower such as Rayo Vallecano (+275), Osasuna (+450) and Malaga (+800) and that one would think are more likely soccer futures picks. By contrast, twelfth-placed Granada, who are a point ahead of Elche in the table, are listed at large +1000 futures betting odds at Bet365. While eleventh-placed Celta de Vigo, who have a three-point edge, are listed at +750 futures betting odds.

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Top Goal Scorer
Predictably, Cristiano Ronaldo leads the race for top goal scorer at -700 futures betting odds but the Portuguese national’s 25 goals is only three more than Brazil’s Diego da Silva Costa (tipped at +450). Indeed, the race for top goal scorer is still wide open despite the lopsided market. Perennial favourite Lionel Messi fell behind in the race after missing a good chunk of the season with an injury. That said the prolific Argentine has 18 goals, which puts him in play even if a distance off at +1400 futures betting odds. Still, he’ll have all to do to catch up with the top tandem of Ronaldo and Costa.

Soccer Picks: Real Madrid to win title, Ronaldo to win top goal scorer. Sevilla at +1000 to finish fourth and Getafe at +250 to be relegated.

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