Soccer Picks: Juventus vs Udinese

Mike Richardson

Thursday, November 28, 2013 3:20 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 28, 2013 3:20 PM UTC

There’s another one-sided encounter on the Italian soccer horizon this Sunday when league leader Juventus take on 11th place Udinese in a game that will see just one winner, and a tidy profit for anyone who follows the soccer picks of your Humble Handicapper.

Udinese are in a spot of bother at present. They have just 16 points after 13 games in Italy's Serie A. Mid table might not sound like they're in that much of a pickle but, they are only six points clear of the bottom three and with two teams on 16 points and another four teams within three points of them (we’re going as low as 15th place Sassuolo) Udinese look more likely to slip down the table than climb up it. In fact Udinese are 5/12 on a top ten finish.

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Enough with Udinese…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

The money is with Juventus. Juventus are having a great season so far, they currently sit top of the table just one point ahead of second place Roma, but a healthy six ahead of third place Napoli. 13 games in and Juve have only dropped points twice all season, one defeat and one draw. What’s more with 28 goals under their soccer belts they have scored on average more than two per game, and having conceded 10 that’s an average of less than one per game.

Crunching those numbers gives you the first of my soccer picks. Juventus will win to nil – available at 11/10, but if you think that’s rot you can bet on Udinese opening the scoring (hey why not) at soccer odds of 3/1.

Scores to be proud of.

Juventus have put four past Udinese in their last two meetings, and by that I mean four per game. A repeat of the last win (4-0) is offered up at soccer odds of 14/1 while a repeat of the previous victory (a 4-1 away win) is offered up at 20/1.

The basic soccer odds from the sportsbooks have a Juventus win at 3/10, a draw at 4/1 and a Udinese win at 11/1. That says it all really, and my soccer tips are in line with the bookies thinking.

Looking at the last five meeting between these two sides shows that Juventus have win four of them and the best Udinese have managed was a goalless draw back in December 2011.  If I can make it any clearer for you I’d say look at the fact that Juventus have outscored Udinese in their last five meetings 12 goals to 3, that averages out at about 2-1 (at 9/1) and 2-0 (soccer odds of 6/1).

Udinese have failed to score more than one goal in three of their last five games (twice at home and once away) while Juventus have scored at least two (and three twice) in their last four.

Prediction: Juventus win 3-0 available at the best soccer odds of 8/1 with Ladbrokes.

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