Soccer Picks Juventus vs. Roma Serie A

Nila Amerova

Friday, January 3, 2014 4:51 PM GMT

Football fans turn to Continental Europe this weekend for their soccer betting kicks and most prominent on the menu is the Serie A tilt between Juventus and Roma. Here’s a primer on this much-anticipated clash complete with choice soccer picks for your consideration. 

Juventus top the table

Top of the table Juventus host Roma on Sunday at Juventus Stadium in Torino as Serie A returns to normal operations. Juventus boast a five-point lead in Serie A, on the back of a 15-1-1 mark and 46 points. Roma, meanwhile, are yet to be defeated this season with a 12-5-0 record and 41 points.

Indeed, this is the tastiest matchup of the weekend’s slate across Europe on paper and in the minds of many experts and fans alike. Sportsbooks however are entertaining a decidedly lopsided view, tipping Juventus as the hot favourites at -150 to win outright and at the same time listing Roma as the whopping +400 underdogs. Do the sportsbooks have it right?

Underscoring Juventus’ soccer odds is an impressive run of form in Serie A, which includes a nine-game winning streak both home and away and an eight-game winning streak at home this season that includes five clean sheets in a row. Most impressively, they stifled Napoli 3-0 at Juventus Stadium during this stretch.

Standing in stark contrast to Roma’s hefty odds is their unbeaten form this season that would suggest shorter soccer odds might have been warranted. After all, Roma began the season brilliantly with a ten-game winning streak both home and away, nine of which were clean sheets. That perfect start however teetered around the time of Totti’s injury, which forced the captain to the sidelines for over a month. But the seasoned veteran is back in the starting XI and eager for the upcoming clash with Juventus, arguably a defining moment for both teams in the Scudetto chase this season.

Five draws in the last seven games cost Roma the lead at the top of the Serie A table and saw Juventus overtake them with a five-point edge. It’s probably a big reason why sportsbooks are discrediting Roma in this game so robustly.

Roma will be looking to shave Juventus’ lead down to two-points, a feat that would certainly be considered a major upset in sports betting circles and, in turn, see the Scudetto battle draw closer in sports betting markets as well – at the start of the New Year Juventus are installed as the hot -600 favourites to win Serie A while Roma are listed at +500 at Bet365.

Juventus vs. Roma Betting Tips and Picks:

While it’s impossible to ignore Juventus’ form in recent months both home and away, it’s also impossible to ignore Roma’s undefeated form and potential for the upset. This suggests that the soccer betting market on this tilt is a bit awry with the hosts too fancied and the visitors not fancied enough.

Juventus have the upper hand in the table as well as home advantage. Certainly, they’ll be looking to press the issue at the expense of Roma and if you are confident they’ll come through, you could do no worse than backing them on your soccer picks at -150 to win outright.

For our money Roma leaps off the page as the value soccer pick at +400 to win outright or even to force the draw at +275 – a case of both prices being simply too good to ignore.

In a tilt billed as a battle for the Scudetto, sportsbooks aren’t taking enough stock of Roma’s value. Of course, it’s still a long way to the end of the season but Roma knows how important it is to take points off Juventus here, not to mention throwing down the gauntlet so. And one has to believe the side that seems to have forgotten how to lose might be able to do it.

Soccer Free Picks: Roma to win outright at +400 

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