Soccer Picks: Juventus vs. Fiorentina

Mike Richardson

Wednesday, October 16, 2013 6:20 PM GMT

Wednesday, Oct. 16, 2013 6:20 PM GMT

Thanks to his success in the World Cup Qualifiers your Humble Handicapper has even more money to splash around on his soccer picks.

The soccer odds that catch his eye right now are on Fiorentina V Juventus in Italy's Serie A.

This should be an easy on to pick even for you amateurs out there. Juventus are third in the table after seven games and Fiorentina are four places behind. If you don't think that that makes all that much difference maybe the fact that there are seven points between these sides already should. That's 19 points to Juventus and 12 to Fiorentina.

Enough withe the table…WHERE'S THE MONEY MIKE?

If there's still some resistance to naming Juventus as the winner of this match from the start it's probably because they have the worst goal difference of any side in the Italian top four. They're on +8 compare to top place Roma's 19 and Second place Napoli's 14 (and even fourth place Inter's 10).

Still Fiorentina are three goals worse off, having conceded 8 and scored 13. They may have only scored one fewer goal than Juventus but Juve have only let in 6.

That's Enough Place Setting for Now.

My soccer picks are based on the fact that Juventus have won three out of their last five meetings between these sides and the other two have been 0-0 draws. A Juventus win is at 5/4 and a draw is at 12/5. Both 0-0 draws have been at Fiorentina, but I'm not expecting a repeat even with soccer odds of 9/1.

You may think that that means that Fiorentina are in with a change with home advantage and (the sportsbooks offer up soccer odds of 14/5 on it), but the heaviest defeat Juventus inflicted on Fiorentina was at home that was 5-0. A repeat of that score is at 150/1, but I'm not naming that as my free pick.

One Way Traffic

Like me taking money off the bookies this game will be one sided. Juventus have outscored Fiorentina 9-1 in their last four meetings. That would suggest either 2-0 or 2-1 to the visitors, offered up at 10/1 and 7/1 respectively by the sportsbooks.

Dare you back the home side scoring?

Fiorentina have failed to find the back of the net against Juventus in four of their last five meetings, so my soccer picks say back an away victory, to NIL! The only goal Fiorentina scored (against Juventus in recent memory) was a to tie a game 1-1, back in October 2011, but it only remained even for 7 minutes before Juventus restored their lead.

Days of Old

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History professors may like to mention the fact that Fiorentina have won two Serie A titles but your Humble Handicapper likes to mention that the last one was way back in 1968-69.

For our soccer picks, it all adds up for Juventus. The Bianconeri are also unbeaten in their last 11 games against Fiorentina (in all competitions), they are on a five game unbeaten run while Fiorentina have just one win in their last four.

Free Soccer Picks: Back an away win, and go for 2-0 at 10/1 with Ladbrokes.

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