Soccer Picks: Jordan vs. Uruguay World Cup Playoff

Nila Amerova

Monday, November 11, 2013 8:35 PM GMT

Monday, Nov. 11, 2013 8:35 PM GMT

The International break delivers World Cup Playoffs across all continents. Let’s take a look at Jordan vs. Uruguay, what is shaping up to be the quintessential David vs. Goliath clash, and deliver our soccer free picks.

Jordan looks to make history

Jordan has yet to reach the finals in the country’s football history. The closest they’ve ever come to accomplishing the huge feat was in 2006 when they lost to Iran and finished runners up.

It’s therefore no surprise given the country’s lack of top-flight action they go into the World Cup playoffs against a well-versed Uruguay installed as the mega +1200 underdogs to win outright at Bet365.

The Jordanians however have made some significant strides in the last decade, twice reaching the quarterfinals of Asian Cup in 2004 and 2011. They reached the World Cup playoffs after finishing third in Group B behind Japan and Australia, and beating Uzbekistan (third in Group A) 9-8 on penalties after settling on a 2-2 aggregate following 2 rounds.

Uruguay look to continue rich World Cup history

Uruguay claim a rich World Cup history. Giants of world football they were for many years since the first instalment of the World Cup in 1930, which they won at home. They won a second in Brazil in 1950. At South Africa 2010, Uruguay finished fourth overall, after a standout run into the semi-finals where they lost to Netherlands 3-2 before losing to Germany 1-0 in the battle for third place.

Going into the World Cup 2014 campaign, Uruguay were considered a heavyweight to win a place in Brazil easily. However, a rather disappointing qualifying campaign in South America saw them finish fifth overall, behind Argentina, Colombia, Chile and Ecuador. Now they are forced to fight for a berth across two legs of playoffs.

Fortunately for Uruguay, if the soccer odds were any indication, the prognosis appears to be rather promising. Facing a lightweight such as Jordan sees them installed as the hot, runaway favourites across all sportsbooks at -450 soccer odds. And one has to believe they can pull off the feat with enviable talent in Luis Suarez and Edinson Cavani amongst several others to rely on.

Jordan vs. Uruguay tips and picks

This is a rather lopsided soccer betting market with Uruguay the runaway favourites at -450 and upwards depending on the sportsbook. However, should we take these odds at face value? After all, Uruguay’s campaign leaves much to be desired, especially after winning the 2011 Copa America. And one wonders whether they are worth such a hefty price tag?

The playoffs are unpredictable, as Uruguay well knows having gone through this format for the last three World Cups. Twice they came away winners in 2002 beating Australian and in 2010 beating Costa Rica. In 2006 however they stumbled at this hurdle, losing to the Socceroos.

Jordan are seriously underrated here at +1200 soccer odds considering the first leg is being playing in Amman, Jordan – which is a considerable trek for Uruguay to begin with. As well, considering the Jordanians pulled off some eyebrow raising wins over Japan and Australia recently. Those are no mean feats and Uruguay must be mindful of those as well as bettors looking to place their soccer picks on this clash.

While they shouldn’t be priced so large in our opinion they are the correct underdogs nonetheless. It goes without saying, if Jordan hopes to pull off the unimaginable they will need to win their home leg. Anything less than a solid win – a big win – would send them into the reverse leg in Uruguay on November 20 at the huge disadvantage, which few would have them winning at all. The draw, which is trading at +500, is a result that could be attainable by the Jordanians on the home front. It would be a huge accomplishment nation for a side that has yet to make it into a finals ever over a storied.

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Soccer Betting Verdict: While the market is overly lopsided in our opinion the outlook is correct. Uruguay is the rightful favourite even though they have struggled to deposit a convincing run towards Brazil. On paper, everything points to an Uruguay win and that’s why they are our soccer pick at -450. However, those odds offer little value so take the Over 2.5 at +100 to pad your pocket with, as well as Uruguay to win both halves at -150 or better yet a draw-Uruguay result at +240.

If you are inclined towards the underdog—who doesn’t like a Cinderella story after all – their +1200 soccer odds are tempting. One almost wants to put down a soccer pick on them just because the payout would be amazing. Chances that will happen are slim to none so don’t go betting the farm on it. The best sports pick that involves a positive result for Jordan is the draw at +500 in our opinion.

Soccer Free Picks: Uruguay to win outright at -450; Over 2.5 at +100
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