Your Humble Handicapper is expecting a trouncing (just like the one Australia took at the hands of the Lions last weekend). What sports betting options can we find in this game that would make for some good soccer picks?
Gilding the Lily
Here's a few facts to start off with: the CONCACAF Gold Cup is held roughly every two years and is always hosted by the USA, and occasionally by both the USA and Mexico. Already, this gives Mexico a moral 1-0 home (sort of) advantage over Canada.
Mexico have made the finals four times in the past ten years and were crowned champions on three of those occasions. As current reigning champions, they have won the Cup a total of six times and been runner's up only once (in 2007). Canada have only been involved in one final, back in 2000, but they went on to win the championship in that competition. This time round Mexico are +400 to win the Cup (second only to the USA who are listed as -110 favourites); in comparison, Canada are valued as +5000 longshots.
Looking at appearances in CONCACAF competitions, it's Mexico who are way out in front. They 've been here 19 times while Canada are a presentable 13.
The table says that Canada are above Mexico but only after one game that's got everything to do with the alphabet and very little to do with football. Mexico, who were shocked to go down 2-1 to Panama in the last game will be bristling and show Canada no quarter when they meet on Thursday.
Canada went down 1-0 against some team called Martinique. Never heard of 'em? Welllll.. they're an island in the Lesser Antilles in the eastern Caribbean Sea, with a land area of 1,128 km2 (436 sq. mi). An overseas region of France, situated directly north of St. Lucia and south of Dominica.
Looking at this match, the bookies are fancying Mexico as they are -181 to win this match in the soccer odds. A draw is at +275 and a Canada win is at +450.
If you're still struggling wondering who to bet on: It's Mexico.
The shortest correct score odds are on Mexico winning 1-0 at +560, but 2-0 is not far behind at +610, the same as a 1-1 draw.
If that looks like small potatoes, you should know that Mexico winning both halves is priced at +125. Mexico coming back from a half-time draw and winning the match is at +280, but the game going Draw/Draw is at +425. Canada winning both halves is -wait for it- +925. However, if you fancy a big return don't throw your money away on the Canucks winning. The only long shot I'd show any money to is Mexico winning at the 45' and the game ending drawn at the 90'. It's hardly a safe bet, but a tempting one at +1250 odds.
Still, your Humble Handicapper is a student of history and I just can't see that happening. Take Mexico as your winning free sports pick in this match.
Soccer Pick: Mexico wins 3-0, available at +1250 with Youwin.