Soccer Picks: Fulham vs. Aston Villa

Nila Amerova

Friday, December 6, 2013 3:14 PM UTC

Friday, Dec. 6, 2013 3:14 PM UTC

Fulham and Aston Villa collide in EPL week 15 betting, in a game that sportsbooks are conspicuously tipping a wide-open affair. So where are the angles for profit? Find out as we break it down.

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Fulham adjusting to life without Jol

Fulham fired head coach Martin Jol after five straight Premier League defeats and ushered in Rene Meulensteen to take over just in time for the Cottagers’ date with Tottenham Hotspur on Wednesday; little good did it do however, as Fulham succumbed 2-1 to the Spurs at Craven Cottage. On the bright side, they did manage to score a goal. In fact, they took the lead on the back of that goal only to fail to close the match on a victory, wobbling at the end and allowing the Spurs to score twice in less than 10 minutes and come through as the odds makers’ favourites to win outright.

To expect Meulensteen to have made an immediate impact perhaps is too big an ask. Their next match, though, against Aston Villa is going to carry more weight of expectation. Perhaps it will be more representative, an indication of what we can expect from Fulham in the coming weeks and their ability to turnaround their season, which they really should given the talent on the squad.

Aston Villa however will be no pushovers given the positive form they are enjoying right now, which includes a recent road win over Southampton in midweek action that extended both their overall form to five unbeaten in a row and their road form to five unbeaten in a row as well.

Indeed, Aston Villa will be a real test for Fulham and their new head coach, which, therefore, makes the current soccer betting line on this matchup even more curious. Sportsbooks have released rather tight odds with Fulham tipped at the slight advantage at +175 to win outright while listing Aston Villa at the disadvantage at +180, a stance so obviously in stark contrast to the Premier League fortunes of both teams.

So that leaves us with the obvious question: what should sports betting enthusiast make of this market cast? And where are the value soccer picks

Fulham vs. Aston Villa match betting tips and picks:

That the Cottagers emerge the favourites, even if marginally so and on the short side of even money, is a rather curious market stance and – dare it be said – unwarranted. In the absence of any redeeming results how can soccer betting fans and Fulham faithful buy into this price with any confidence. Not light heartedly that is for sure.

It’s true that Fulham boast a talented bench but that said talent is still a bit disenchanted and disgruntled after seven straight defeats across all competitions. To expect the new head coach to get the best out of them in a short time, especially the best out of an offense that simply failed to appear at the start of the season and continued to be absent (they’ve managed less than a goal a game in 14 rounds), is a bit of a stretch. It’s not impossible but, admittedly, it is unlikely against Aston Villa. Not least because Aston Villa, riding a wave of momentum on the road, will be looking at this opportunity as a great chance to take three points while heaping more misery on a hapless Fulham.

Soccer Betting Verdict: In theory, this match could go either way, which consequently means there is value on both sides of the coin. However, pragmatist amongst us will agree that Aston Villa is the smart soccer pick here. And when taking into consideration their road form, the +180 soccer odds on offer at Bet365 seem just too good to ignore.

Soccer Picks: Aston Villa to win outright at +180

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