Soccer Picks Fiorentina vs. Inter Milan

Nila Amerova

Thursday, February 13, 2014 7:18 PM GMT

Thursday, Feb. 13, 2014 7:18 PM GMT

With Coppa Italia hopes still alive, Fiorentina now turn to Serie A action as they prepare to host Inter Milan. Find out what odds are currently trading across sportsbooks.

Fiorentina advance into Coppa Italia final

Fiorentina advanced into the Coppa Italia final with a 2-0 victory over Udinese on Tuesday night, a result that saw them reverse the tie 3-2 in their favour at Stadio Artemio Franchi to the delight of their fans with Vargas’ away goal in Udine proving (as expected) crucial towards their hopes for silverware on the season.

The Viola now look ahead to Inter Milan in week 24 Serie A betting, brimming with confidence and momentum. The win over Udinese marked their second straight win, a back-to-back streak that improves their overall form to 6-2-2 in their last ten games across all competitions since the start of the New Year.

Taking just their Serie A account into consideration, they are 3-2-1 in their last six games both home and away since January 5th and the start of the second half of the season. Whittling down their mark further, to just home form, they are undefeated in their last six games with a 5-1-0 mark. Their last home defeat was a 2-1 defeat to Napoli on October 30.

Fiorentina are fourth in Serie A with a 13-5-5 mark and 44 points in 23 laps. Home form is a solid 7-3-1 to date, with Napoli the only side to deny Viola any points at home. Clearly, Fiorentina is enjoying a solid season.

Given Fiorentina’s solid form, it’s no surprise sportsbooks send them into their clash as the favourites. What is surprising, though, is that they aren’t cornering this match wholeheartedly in their camp with betting odds just shy of even money at +105 at Bet365.

That sportsbooks seem to be on the fence with Fiorentina is somewhat surprising, especially given their home form. What’s more, it’s not as if Inter Milan cut an imposing figure (more on Inter later) either.

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Inter Milan at the disadvantage

Inter Milan enter this clash at the serious disadvantage in money line markets, tipped at soccer odds of +250 to win outright. As well, the draw is listed similarly at +240 or thereabouts depending on the sportsbook of choice. Given their rather large price tag, it’s all the more surprising that odds makers refuse to corner this match in Fiorentina’s camp, on the better side of even money so to speak. So is there something about Inter Milan that prompts this rather peculiar betting market?Inter Milan are fifth in the table, a rung down the ladder from Fiorentina but eight points behind, which doesn’t exactly constitute nipping at their heels. Moreover, Inter boast a modest 9-9-5 mark on the season with 36 points, comprised of a rather suspect road account that stands at 3-4-4.

Inter Milan are coming off a 1-0 victory over Sassuolo in the last lap around Serie A, but a win over bottom straggling Sassuolo is hardly the stuff confidence is built on is it, not least when it’s their first win on the second half of the season.

That’s right. Inter Milan finally recorded their first win of the season (home or away) with a dispirited 1-0 victory over Sassuolo. Overall, they are 1-2-4 since the start of the New Year. Worst of all, away form is a discouraging narrative for their fans with five successive defeats – all of which include top ten opposition and a run that saw Inter shutout three times.

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Fiorentina vs. Inter Milan betting tips and picks:

Undoubtedly, this match appears to be a home banker.  Nothing about Inter Milan’s season or current form suggests they are poised to mastermind the upset in Firenze. What’s more, Fiorentina are flush off Coppa Italia success in the semi-finals; they must feel on top of the world.

That Fiorentina aren’t listed on the favourable side of even money therefore has to be a careless and inexplicable oversight by the odds makers, one that soccer bettors should pounce on with enthusiasm forthwith. Indeed, at +105 at Bet365, Fiorentina to win outright is a value soccer pick you’ll not want to miss out on.  

Soccer Free Picks: Fiorentina to win outright at +105

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