Soccer Picks for Fiorentina vs. Atalanta

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, February 5, 2014 6:53 PM GMT

Serie A betting heats up as Fiorentina and Atalanta collide on match day 23. Where is the value to be had? Find out as we breakdown the soccer odds and deliver our choice picks.

Fiorentina hot favourites

Although Fiorentina are coming off back-to-back defeats across all competitions, they enter match day 23 betting markets as the hot favourites at -225 to win outright at Bet365. Clearly, Serie A defeat to Cagliari and the minor Coppa Italia setback against Udinese on Tuesday haven’t unsettled the markets.

That has everything to do with good form. Fiorentina are sat in fourth place in Serie A, which puts them on pace (at least) for a second fourth place finish in as many seasons.

Fiorentina take a 12-5-5 record and 41 points into the weekend, which is comprised of a solid 6-3-1 record at home that is highlighted by 23 goals scored and 15 conceded. Only three points separate them from Napoli in third place, a gap that they potentially could close with a good turnout against middleweights Atalanta.

Atalanta are 12th in the league with a modest 8-3-11 record and 27 points through 22 laps. A modest enough Serie A campaign indeed that sees them ten points clear of the relegation zone. The thing is, though, their successes have largely come on home turf where they are 7-2-2, a mark they underscored by busting out a 3-0 win over Napoli at the weekend. 

On the road, it’s a different story. Atalanta are a debilitating 1-1-9 on their travels in Italy, a record that amounts to taking just four out of a potential 33 points. What’s more, they’ve managed to score just seven goals in eleven outings and, at the same time, conceding a whopping 19.

With Atalanta’s chances of securing a meaningful result at Fiorentina looking so grim, it’s no surprise that they are installed as the hefty underdogs across sportsbooks. At Bet365 and William Hill, you’ll find them trading at +600 soccer odds. Even the draw is a far-flung possibility at both sportsbooks, Bet365 is offering the result at +333 while William Hill serves it up at +300 soccer odds.

Fiorentina vs. Atalanta match betting tips and picks:

Atalanta have lost seven of their last eight on the road. They are 0-1-7 going into match day 23 at Fiorentina, a record that suggests both an away win or draw are highly unlikely.

Meanwhile, Fiorentina’s overall Serie A form is very good. What’s more, they have a solid home record that they’ll be looking to extend at the expense of a hapless Atalanta side, which clearly struggles on the road. Everything about this tilt suggests it’s a home banker and, therefore, our first recommended soccer pick for this clash is to back Fiorentina at -225 on the outright win at Bet365. 

Other soccer-betting markets that looking appealing for this clash are those with goals in mind, such as the Over 2.5 at -125 – Fiorentina’s offense has no trouble firing at all cylinders at home while, conversely, Atalanta’s defence is as porous as a sieve. Correct score markets that are worth considering include the 2-1 score at +700 at Bet365 or 3-1 at +1100.

Soccer Free Picks: Fiorentina to win outright at -225; Over 2.5 at -125

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