Soccer Picks: Finding the Best Value Across Europe Sunday

Lee Phelps

Thursday, January 22, 2015 1:15 PM GMT

Thursday, Jan. 22, 2015 1:15 PM GMT

The Big Three games on Sunday span nine hours, with some Dutch, English and French soccer to watch. Our capper has picked out some intriguing games with good odds for his free betting picks.

Ajax vs Feyenoord
The Eredivisie in the Netherlands is our first stop on a great day of action on Sunday, with second versus third at the Amsterdam Arena. Eight points separate these two sides and that is mainly down to the home side’s form in front of their own fans.

Ajax have dropped just five points at home, losing to PSV and drawing with current fourth placed team Zwolle. They have won every other game scoring 27 and conceding five. Feyenoord’s away form has been okay, but they haven’t played too many top clubs. They did almost take a point at PSV, but Colin Kazim Richards’ 89th minute equaliser was met with a stoppage time Memphis Depay winner to make it 4-3!

I think it will be a similar game here and can see plenty of goals in a fixture that has seen over 2.5 land in all but one of the last seven head-to-heads. They have also seen five Ajax wins, a draw and one for Sunday’s visitors.

Soccer pick: Ajax win and Over 2.5 goals 3.1 (21/10)

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Aston Villa vs Bournemouth
I have a little formula when it comes to the FA Cup and teams facing each other from different divisions and it’s based around confidence. There are only six places between these two clubs, with Eddie Howe’s south coast side at the top of the Championship heading to Aston Villa, who are 15th in the Premier League.

As well as vastly difference levels of confidence, goals are the key too. Paul Lambert’s team has managed just eight goals in 13 home games in all competitions. That includes the 1-0 defeat at home to Leyton Orient in the League Cup and the 1-0 win against Blackpool in the previous round. Blackpool are the bottom club in the Championship and it took an 88th minute Benteke goal to settle that tie.

Bournemouth have scored 42 goals in 17 away games in cup and league, and although they didn’t score at Leeds on Tuesday, it’s a rare night when they don’t grab at least one goal and have already bagged three against top flight clubs this season, beating West Brom 2-1 and losing 1-3 to Liverpool.

I’m going for an 'upset' as my soccer pick and I can see a few goals too.

Soccer pick: Bournemouth win and over 2.5 goals 5.0 (4/1)

Follow Up on Our Live Soccer Odds

 

St. Etienne vs PSG
This match is fourth versus third in France and also sees the joint highest away scorers go up against the joint best home defence in Ligue Une.

St Etienne have let in just four goals in 10 games at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, while PSG have rattled in 17 goals in the same number of away games. It’s hardly prolific and if you’re good at maths you’ll know that isn’t even two per match.

Ligue Une is one of the lowest scoring leagues in Europe, with half the sides averaging less than 2.5 goals per game and I’m expecting a tight match here too. Only a point separates the teams and neither will want to give too much away.

They met at St Etienne in the cup on January 13th and a Zlatan Ibrahimovic goal was the difference between them as the Paris club progressed 1-0. He is 6/4 to score in this match and I wouldn’t be surprised if his class is the only thing dividing the sides again.

Soccer pick: Under 1.5 match goals 3.0 (2/1)

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