Soccer Picks: FA Cup Finals Man City vs. Wigan

Mike Richardson

Saturday, May 11, 2013 1:25 PM UTC

Saturday, May. 11, 2013 1:25 PM UTC

The FA Cup final is here and is contested by two teams from opposite ends of the Premier League table and your humble handicapper is confident in making some cash out of the game.

It's no surprise that the bookmakers have Manchester City favourites in this match at 1/3 while Wigan are 9/1. Besides a straightforward win in this match, the betting odds on City lifting thee trophy are 1/6 while it’s 9/2 for Wigan.

That’s probably because, if you look at the Premier League table you’ll see 40 points between the two sides and the goal difference of 54. What's more Wigan have only won in nine of their 36 league games this season while Manchester City have only been defeated five times in the league (all term). City have scored 62 league goals this season and conceded just 30 while Wigan have only managed 44 goals and conceded 67.

Enough about the Premier League…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

If you think that's bad the bookies have City winning both halves at 8/11 while Wigan winning any half is at 20/1. You might also take it as a measure who is likely to win this game that the shortest correct score odds on Wigan winning are on 1-0 at 33/1 which is behind Manchester City winning 5-0 which is offered up at 30/1.

Crazy Like a Fox / Mad Like a Cat

If you go absolutely crazy and you must bet on Wigan winning the FA Cup then don't expect them to do it inside 90 minutes. The game going to penalties is available at 9/1, but a diehard Wigan bet only.

Looking at the last five head-to-head meetings between these two sides have very clear pattern emerges and the pattern that says Manchester City -Manchester City- Manchester City- Manchester City and Manchester City. The Citizens have won each and every single one of their last five encounters with Wigan. What's more city have outscored Wigan eight goals to nil in these five meetings, in case you can't do the maths that means that Wigan haven't managed to score past Manchester City in five matches.

What's going on with the other Manchester!?~

In fact you'd have to go all the way back to October 2009 which was the last time that city dropped a goal against city when Charles N'Zogbia scored in an 1-1 draw. FYI a repeat of that score is at 11/1, but that’s not where my cash is going.

I'm feeling quite generous though I am going to give Wigan a goal but no more than that. And it certainly will be less than City score.

If you leave the lily gilded any further you should know that Manchester City have won eight and drawn one of their last nine Premier League games against Wigan.

Wigan will get a goal, but just a consolation goal to mark the occasion however I do think City, because they have nothing left to play for this season will not hold back. I'm starting my betting at 3-1 at 10/1 for my soccer picks with a couple more correct score bets higher than that.

Free Soccer Picks: Manchester City win (at a canter) 4-1 available at 25/1 with William Hill.

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