Soccer Picks: Everton vs. Manchester City

Lee Benson

Friday, March 15, 2013 5:58 PM GMT

The early game Saturday lunchtime has the reigning Champions visit Goodison Park as the Toffee's host City in this second versus seventh place Premier League fixture. Where are we looking to place our soccer picks in this fixture?


So where will the points be going and where are the goals coming from?

Let SBRForum become your source for all of your Soccer Picks, Tips and Predictions for Week 30 in the English Premier League as I preview all the top match-ups right here for you.

City will be looking to continue their excellent run since their 3-1 defeat at Southampton and are 21/20 with Ladbrokes, bet365 AND William Hill to win this one and make it five victories in a row. City have scored 12 and conceded none since the surprise loss on the South Coast February 9th. They have eight clean sheets from their last ten outings with seven wins against that solitary defeat, with back to back draws preceding that loss.

Everton meanwhile, will be simply looking to shake off the shock of last weekend's defeat in the FA Cup at home to Wigan and are 14/5 with William Hill to do just that with the draw at 13/5 with bet365. That was only their second loss in ten though, with three draws in that sequence and five wins, so their form all told is not that far off that of City really. And their record against City is second to none!

Mancini's City have never taken a single point off Everton on three previous trips to Goodison Park during the Italian's reign. In fact it's a lowly four points from a possible 21 for Mancini in his battles against Moyes. Everton have won each of their last three home matches against City. It's 92 years since they last won four successive home matches in this fixture.

Check out our Premier League Rundown for more free soccer picks and tips.

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The two clubs met on this date in the top-flight 101 years ago; City won 4-0 at their then-Hyde Road ground and the soccer odds makers at Bet365 are offering a repeat at 33/1. Everton are 80/1 to revenge that century and one defeat on it's anniversary. 

The Toffees are in danger of their season petering out to nothing after the best start to a campaign in years, which as traditional slow-starters was looking like being the key to a great season and a possible top four finish, but they are almost playing their season in reverse, as it were, form wise, and ending without even a European spot at this rate after it all started so well with an opening day 1-0 victory against the red half of Manchester.

Of their opening 25 Premier League matches, Everton lost just three.

They head into Saturday's game with Manchester City off the back of two disappointing defeats in their last four games including, most recently, that FA Cup mauling by Wigan Athletic at Goodison Park.

Their pride and that of their fans will have been dented even more by the fact that their fiercest rivals Liverpool leap-frogged them into 6th place last weekend too! 

Everton have drawn 12 of their league games, a joint-league high shared with both Stoke and Norwich. Only the two Manchester clubs have lost less this season though, as Everton remain tough to beat the majority of the time and drew 1-1 at City in the corresponding fixture earlier this season, available at 6/1 with Ladbrokes, as if to highlight that point.

The Toffees have only failed to score in four of their 28 league games this campaign; however, three of those have come in the last seven matches. They have not kept a clean sheet in ten games which is quite ominous when you look at the free scoring stats (I mentioned) of this City side. And the defence isn't bad either, with eight clean sheets their last ten outings, scoring 20 goals whilst conceding just five.

So goals likely then, but more likely from City even without the injured Sergio Aguero as Tevez especially is on fire right now and City simply must win this one to at least maintain the gap to United who host manager-less Reading in the early evening fixture. If City go ahead then Everton are in real trouble as they have only dropped four points from winning positions this season, winning 14 games and drawing two. It's the equal-best record in the Premier League alongside Manchester United and Arsenal.

Marouane Fellaini to Score and Everton to Win is at 7/1 while Yaya Toure to Score and Man City to Win is at 5/1 both with William Hill.

Draw/Man City at 9/2 and Man City/Man City at 11/5 are my two favourite double result picks with the second of the two most likely and where I am leaning towards.

So this really boils down to how Everton react to last weekend's humiliation, as they are very much the wounded animal right now and could just be upset enough to end the title challenge of City in one big performance. If they don't come with that kind of attitude they could well be in for a hiding if City start to flow as they can and with the firepower they have. Tevez is 9/2 to score first and is my lean along with Edin Dzeko to score last at 5/1 as he so often does, coming on as a sub to kill off or win games with scary regularity.

If none of that helps you then maybe this hilarious take on 'statistics' from City fan and blogger Simon Curtis may help you with your free picks from SBRForum.com. 

"David Moyes hates City with a passion, owing to the Joleon Lescott affair, when his prize centre-half was pried away from his tight Scottish grasp at the very moment he needed a good, left footed centre-half.

Everton have lost only five of 20 Premier League games against City at Goodison. Howard Kendall is still persona non grata in our household (picture on the dartboard to this very day). 

City have scored 12 and conceded none since the airy fairy all fall down performance at Southampton! 

It is always windy and rainy on Merseyside when City play there. 40% of visitors' cars parked on the periphery of Stanley Park on matchdays have at least one wheel less by the end of the match. 

When City do get the better of Everton, there is some chance of a cavalcade of goals (there have been a 5-0, a 5-1 and a 4-0 in the Blues' favour, although all occurred in Manchester and one of them was when David Moyes was still in nappies."

So there you have it then, priceless insight from the trenches of the Premier League!

Free Soccer Pick: Away win for me at 21/20 with Ladbrokes and the 3-1 correct score prediction at 14/1 with bet365 and Edin Dzeko to score last at 5/1 with William Hill.