Soccer Picks: Europe's Big Leagues Hold Top Betting Value for Sunday's Profit

Lee Phelps

Thursday, March 5, 2015 6:55 PM GMT

Thursday, Mar. 5, 2015 6:55 PM GMT

William Hill's football podcast pundit Lee Phelps has looked across Europe for his big three Sunday bets. He's got two odds-on shots and a bigger price bet for his free picks.

We have some superb Sunday soccer to bet on this weekend, with Champions League chasing teams in action in Spain and Italy and what looks an easy win for a Premier League team in the FA Cup.

 

Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia
Four straight wins for Valencia and are on Atletico Madrid’s coat-tails in the race for Champions League  football.

It‘s strange game from a betting point of view because I think Madrid will win, but I don’t like their price on La Liga odds; and conversely I like the Valencia price but don’t think they will win!

There is plenty of value in the goal scorers with Mandzukic and Griezmann both odds against and the in form Pablo Piatta looks a big price at 5.0 (4/1) to score for the away tea, considering he’s bagged four in four.

I’m looking at the goals for Atleti though and expecting over 1.5. They have managed to score two or more in 14 of their last 15 home games, including two matches against Real and one versus Barca.

Soccer pick: Atletico Madrid over 1.5 goals 1.75 (3/4)

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Napoli vs. Inter Milan
Inter Milan’s resurgence ended last week after three straight wins they fell to a single goal defeat to their fellow Europa League Italian flag bearers Fiorentina. Just when we were wondering if the inconsistency had levelled out, a home defeat where they should have drawn at the very least.

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Napoli themselves have had an obstacle or two in recent weeks, with a loss to Torino and the Coppa Italia draw at Lazio. But in general they have been in great form, with only two defeats at home. They came against Juve and Chievo.

The head-to-heads are in Rafa Benitez’s favor too with five straight wins at home against Inter. They need another one to keep their Cup opponents at bay in fourth too, with Lazio only two points back.

Soccer pick: Napoli 1.95 (10/11)

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Liverpool vs. Blackburn Rovers
Brendan Rodgers’ team are enjoying a fine time in league and cup at the moment, with only the Europa League tripping them up (you would have to wonder how sad they are at that!) This weekend they face Championship FA Cup quarter finalists Blackburn Rovers.

Rovers are a far cry from their halcyon days in the top flight and are currently 10th in the Championship, having just won their first game since booking their last eight spot with a good win against Stoke City.

They have some quality players In Rudi Gestede who has 13 goals in 30 games, including cup goals in the last round and against Swansea, plus prolific scorer Jordan Rhodes. Rhodes has always struggled when he steps up to Premier League level, but in Gestede they have a talent who could grab a goal against Liverpool.

The Reds are way too short at 1.3 (3/10) on the Premiere League odds but will go in every acca going this weekend. They are unbeaten in 90 minutes in 21 games, have won five straight at Anfield and are undefeated in 14 in front of their own fans, plus Daniel Sturridge is back scoring.

However, they have already conceded in all but one game in the FA Cup (0-0 versus Bolton) so it wouldn’t be a huge surprise if Blackburn grabbed a goal. Gestede is 6.5 (11/2) to add to his cup total.

Whether Rovers score or not I can see Liverpool winning well, which is why I'm choosing them for my soccer picks.They will have far too much, with their pace, skill and system and I think it’s an ideal game for Sturridge to start and play a full 90 minutes.

Soccer pick: Daniel Sturridge to score two or more goals: 5.5 (9/2)

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