Soccer Picks: Espanyol vs. Atletico Bilbao

Thursday, September 19, 2013 9:07 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 19, 2013 9:07 PM UTC

Your Humble Handicapper casts his gambling eye over to Spain where he see a brave man’s bet and some tidy returns when Espanyol host Athletic Bilbao next Monday.
<p style="text-align:center"><span></span></p> <p style="text-align:center"><em>Check out our report on <a href="/soccer/free-picks/soccer-betting-la-liga-2013-14-futures-betting-odds-a-32622/" title="Soccer Betting: La Liga 2013-14 Futures &amp; Betting Odds" target="_blank">Spanish La Liga 2013-14 Betting Futures</a>!</em></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">Before I tell you where to place your <a href="/soccer/" title="Free Soccer Picks" target="_blank">soccer picks</a> to win money in the match, I think I’ll put both teams into some form of context for you. </span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">Athletic Bilbao are 400/1 to win the Spanish League this term, but when you consider that third favourite Real Sociedad are 300/1, it puts it all into perspective a bit. As the Spanish league is a two horse race, being 6</span><sup>th</sup><span style="font-size:1em"> favourite isn’t that bad a deal. <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=1259&amp;book=ladbrokesinarticle" title="Bet and WIN on Spanish Primera Liga at Ladbrokes.com!" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Ladbrokes, in turn, go as high as 1500/1</a>. If those numbers frighten you, you might be cheered to know that Bilbao are 4/3 on a top six finish while Espanyol are 18/19.</span></p> <p><strong>Enough with the league… WHERE’S THE MONEY, MIKE?</strong></p> <p><img style="font-size:1em" class="imgSelectedPicture article-image" alt="Image preview" id="ctl00_head_ArticleAdministrator_picturePreview_imgSelectedPicture" src="/picks-pictures/EspanyolBilbaoLaLiga_september2013_200.jpg" />The bookies fancy the home side in this match and offer up an Espanyol win at 13/10 in the <a href="/betting-odds/soccer/" title="Betting ODds" target="_blank">soccer odds</a>, while a Bilbao win is at 2/1 and that “scary, scary bet” of a draw is at 12/5. Some people say you shouldn’t bet on draws, and even the weather-beaten gambler will know that it’s squeaky bum tie when a drawn game heads into the final third, but get ready for this.</p> <p>I think this game is going to be close... about as close as they come. </p> <p>The last game may have been a 4-0 Espanyol win (playing away last February), but the two previous games both ended drawn 3-3, and the two before that were both decided by a single goal (both in the home sides favour, and both times for Espanyol). Even so, I say back a draw!</p> <p><em>(If you don’t believe me, click the video above and watch me tell SBR’s Natalie Rydström what’s what in this game.)</em></p> <p>There will be goals, and all I can commit to is an even number of goals, I’ll only say it’s going to be an even number of goals. My <a target="_blank" title="For the latest in sports odds, news, picks and predictions, visit SBRForum.com!" href="/">sports betting</a> crystal ball tells me we’ll see plenty of goalmouth action, so I’m avoiding 0-0 at 12/1 with Coral. The bookies like the look of 1-1 and they offer that score up at 11/2 . Despite the fact that two of the last five meetings between these sides (and the last time this fixture was played) have ended 3-3, I don’t think we’ll see six goals. So stay away from 3-3 even, at 55/1.</p> <p>A 2-2 result is the highest I’d go for a fat return, at 17/1. But I fear it’ll be less exciting than that.</p> <p><strong>Soccer Pick:</strong> <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=754&amp;book=willhillinarticle" title="Bet and WIN on Spanish soccer at WilliamHill.com!" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">A 1-1 draw at priced 6/1, at William Hill</a></p> <em>Share your thoughts on all things soccer at <a target="_blank" title="Visit SBRForum's Soccer Forum!" href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/soccer-handicapping/">SBRForum.com's soccer message boards</a>!</em>
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