Soccer Picks: EPL Relegation Picks

Mike Richardson

Tuesday, March 19, 2013 7:08 PM GMT

There are just a handful of games left to play in the Premier League so this is quite possibly your last chance to make any money out of betting on the relegations from the English top-flight.


It’s news to nobody at all that Manchester United are running away with the English Premier League,  their tally of 74 points is a full 15 ahead of their closest rivals, Manchester City and for anybody who isn't very good at maths that means that if Manchester City were to win every single remaining game Manchester United would have to lose five of them, do you really think that can happen.

No! But, your Humble Handicapper knows that down at the bottom of the table is where the real action and excitement is.

Tough (luck) at the Top, Tight at the Bottom

There are just eight points between 15th place Southampton and 20th place bottom of the table Queens Park Rangers. Usually in situations like this your Humble Handicapper relies on his own patented rule of six. This states that you should only consider any permutations that fall within a six-point radius but I think it's worth mentioning Southampton in the relegation battle and all the teams below them as it's been a real topsy-turvy season.

Who might be next to get sacked?

Saints Go Marching Out?

The first thing to mention about Southampton and the relegation fight, is that they are most probably out of it. Southampton’s 3-1 victory over Liverpool pretty much assured them of Premier League survival and they would have to drop seven points to be sucked into the relegation zone, but looking at the amount of goals they've scored I think that's pretty unlikely there won’t be at least three side who perform worse than Southampton in the final leg of the season.

That's why Southampton going down is at 6/1 betting odds, a Pompey bet only.

One of those might well be Sunderland the Black Cats or on a dodgy one although they do have the best goal difference of any side in the bottom eight. I do think Sunderland, will stay up not so much because of their particular brilliance, it's just that there will be at least three if not four sides who will perform worse (or as bad as) them. However the odds are pretty good on Sunderland going down they are at 8/1 with Coral.

The main reason why Sunderland might be in trouble is there next three games again after Norwich are Manchester United at home, Chelsea away then Newcastle away and it is quite possible that they might not garner a single point from that run. Theoretically dropping nine points could have a huge shakeup on the bottom of the table, so although I think they'll make it through, your Humble Handicapper is still putting a couple of quid on Sunderland going down.

Plus after the Tyne Wear derby (played away at St James Park) Sunderland take on Everton who are now starting to look like the top four side again.

Heroes or Villains?

It's pretty much a similar story for Aston Villa although they have turned a corner and took a massive win from their six-point against QPR I do think that alone should be enough to give an bit of momentum and although they won't climb very high of the table they should move away from the dreaded dotted line.

Still, if you wanna make some money and you're feeling lucky there on Aston Villa being relegated at 9/4 for your soccer picks.

Wigan have been flirting with relegation for many a long season and the further they progress to the next round of the FA Cup could actually be very costly for them they are at present six points away from safety ahead of the game against Newcastle (which they somehow won!) and their goal difference is just as bad as Reading’s and Queens Park Rangers, the two sides below them. I said it quite a while ago and I'm sticking to it I'm backing Wigan to drop which is available at 4/6

[gameodds]2/223446/169-43-1537-1096/us[/gameodds]

Finally the two sides propping up the table Queens Park Rangers at the bottom Redding or only slightly above them by virtue of goals scored both sides have 23 points, a full seven clear of safety and have a goal difference of -22 I don't think it's saying too much when I say that both sides will be playing their football outside the Premier League next season. You should note that the bookmakers have QPR going down at 1/6 and Reading going down at 1/16.

[gameodds]2/223447/169-43-1537-1096/us[/gameodds]

Soccer Picks: The three sides you see in the bottom three now the three sides dropping out of the English Premier league, which is Wigan, Reading and Queens Park Rangers. Why not put a triple on them at 5/4 with Will Hill.