Soccer Picks: England vs. Montenegro World Cup Qualifier Tips

Richard O'Hagan

Tuesday, October 8, 2013 7:35 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 8, 2013 7:35 PM UTC

England have back-to-back home matches, top Group H and could still wind up not making it to Brazil 2014. This game is as important as they come for both sides. How have we decided to look at this game from a soccer betting point of view?

Group H is so tight that, remarkably, a side could end this group stage with 18 points and still not qualify for the 2014 FIFA World Cup. Both sides, therefore, will be anxious for a win in this game, especially after their encounter in Podgorica ended 1-1 back in March.

Montenegro’s blessing and curse in recent years has been that their three world-class players are all forwards. That hasn’t always sat easily with coach Branko Brnovic’s game plans and Dejan Damjanovic has often found himself the odd man out. Even so, he scored the equaliser as a substitute in that March game and, more importantly, will start this one with Stevan Jovetic ruled out though injury.

Their problem, though, is their lack of class elsewhere on the pitch. England, meanwhile, will be boosted by the return of Wayne Rooney, if only because it means that unlike in the last round of games the inexperienced Rickie Lambert doesn’t have to operate as a one man strike force. They may, however, be without the most experienced playing in their squad, with Ashely Cole picking up a rib injury whilst playing for Chelsea against Norwich at the weekend.

Live soccer odds have England at a best price of 1.44 with Coral to win this, whilst the Montenegrans are out at 8.5. England, however, have a bit of a reputation of making heavy weather of these games, which is why the 1-0 and 2-0 win are joint favorites at around 7.0. Backing either of those options, plus an England win after a draw at half time, offers the best prospect of making a profit with your soccer picks on this game without backing the visitors.

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