Soccer Picks: Egypt vs. Ghana World Cup Qualifier

Steven Suarez

Monday, November 18, 2013 6:53 PM UTC

Monday, Nov. 18, 2013 6:53 PM UTC

It would take something insane for Ghana to surrender their first-leg lead. Check out our soccer pick for Tuesday's rematch in Egypt.

Find out what other bettors are saying about the upcoming World Cup

Odds Overview

Forget for a moment that Ghana won 6-1 in the first leg. It's Egypt that sportsbooks are favoring this time around, as they're at +105 or so to win. You can back the away side at +280 or so, while a draw is in the range of +220 to +250.

How We Got Here

Egypt was dominant as can be in round two of the World Cup qualifying. In Group G, they were perfect, winning all six of their matches while scoring 16 goals and allowing only seven.

Mohamed Aboutrika and Mohamed Salah were the standouts, both scoring six times, tying them with Ghana's Asoamoah Gyan for the lead.

In Group D, Ghana won five of six matches with a goal differential of plus 15. They won all three matches at home and scored 13 times in the process, but they also found the back of the net five times in three away encounters.

Gyan has been in good form for his country, while Abdul Waris and Sulley Muntari both netted three goals in the group stages.

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The First Meeting

Where do we begin? It was a clinic from start to finish for the Black Stars.

Gyan had put the home team ahead of only five minutes, and an own goal from Egypt's Wael Gomaa put Ghana up 2-0. Just before the whistle for halftime and three minutes after a penalty conversion from Mohamed Aboutriaka, Waris scored to make it 3-1 after the first 45 minutes.

It was more of the same for the Black Stars in the second half. Gyan added another and Muntari and Christian Atsu also got their names on the score-sheet.

Baba Yara Stadium in Kumasi was going wild and for good reason. Their countrymen were putting on a show and now Ghana is in a fantastic position to secure a spot in the World Cup.

Who Goes Through?

Barring some kind of miracle, this spot belongs to Ghana.

Egypt isn't going to get massacred 6-1 again, especially now that they're back on their own turf, but their confidence has to be completely shot now. Bob Bradley's position as coach is in major jeopardy and we wonder if his players are going to have the right mindset, given they have little chance of advancing no matter what they do.

Truth is, Ghana has so much talent within their ranks that it doesn't matter if they trot out a slightly weaker starting XI. You've got Ghan, Waris and Muntari but then the likes of Michael Essien, Anre Ayew and Kwado Asamoah as well. Jordan Ayew and Emmanuel Frimpong started on the bench in the first leg – will they make an appearance on Tuesday?

Egypt has had a tremendous qualifying campaign, but this appears to be the end of the road. Ghana came out with a mission on Friday and have set themselves up beautifully. Full of confidence after such a display, we actually like the Black Stars to win again in Egypt, especially at this lovely price of +280 soccer odds.

Soccer Pick: Egypt 1 Ghana 2

Final Aggregate: Egypt 2 Ghana 8

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