Soccer Picks: DFB Pokal Rundown Analysis & Betting Preview

Nikki Adams

Monday, December 14, 2015 8:50 PM GMT

Monday, Dec. 14, 2015 8:50 PM GMT

In this column, we preview the soccer odds for the entire DFB Pokal Round of 16 and serve up soccer picks for each and every game, all while featuring some of the key matchups to spot.

DFB Pokal Odds Rundown
The DFB Pokal enters the R16 this week. Usual suspects Bayern Munich are flying high in the competition alongside Borussia Dortmund, Borussia M’gladbach and Bayer Leverkusen – all representatives of Germany’s top flight and, as such, the top favorites to win it all. Missing from the competition already are defending champions VFL Wolfsburg, who were dumped from the competition in the second round by…none other than…drum roll…Bayern Munich. The German giants defeated the Wolves 3-1 on the road, thereby ensuring this season’s instalment of the competition would feature a new champion.

If all goes to plan, the likeliest winners are contained within the Top Four favorites on the DFB Pokal Futures Odds board (See Table 1). Still, it would be premature to hand the title over to Pep Guardiola and Company. There’s everything to play for yet. Meaning nothing can be taken for granted when each and every single side in the competition has good reason to fancy its chances.

R16 Matchups and Preview
Here we look at the entire slate of R16 matchups spanning Tuesday and Wednesday, preview a few in some detail and wrap up with choice soccer picks to spot.

Borussia M’gladbach vs. Werder Bremen
To look at the Bundesliga standings is to gain a sense of which team is the better team: Borussia M’gladbach are fifth in the table while Werder Bremen are sat 14th and hovering on the edge of relegation. The gap in quality amounts to 11 points. That said Borussia were thoroughly defeated by Bayer Leverkusen this weekend, a 5-0 walloping on the road that followed a disappointing end to their Champions League campaign at the Etihad behind a 4:2 loss to the Citizens. As it is, Borussia M’gladbach are riding a two-game losing streak that snaps a run of 12 games undefeated across all competitions and features wins over Wolfsburg, Hertha BSC, Sevilla and Bayern Munich to name a few. This slight dip in form can be down to a hard trek last week involving a trip to Manchester City and then a short trek to Leverkusen. Not to mention, the emotional let-down after suffering a defeat in Europe’s top-flight.

In no uncertain terms, Borussia M’gladbach need a bounce back performance. At first glance, Werder Bremen appear to fit the bill. They are struggling in domestic action and have just four wins on the season to show for their efforts. It’s worth noting that Werder Bremen did beat Borussia M’gladbach at home earlier this season, marking their lone home win. They also play better on the road where they are 3-2-3.

Soccer Betting Verdict: Although we fully expect Borussia M’gladbach to bounce back against Werder Bremen and confirm their role as the favorites on the soccer odds board, this game might just be closer than the soccer odds makers would suggest. You can take Borussia M’gladbach at -157 on your soccer picks, as well as the Over 2.5 at -163 and the ‘Yes’ option for both teams to score at -163 soccer odds at Bet365. For best value, we fancy taking a chance on winning margin markets with a view towards taking Borussia M’gladbach to win by 1 goal-margin at +275 or a 2-goal margin at +375.

Soccer Picks: Borussia M’gladbach to win at -157 & by 1-goal margin at +275 at Bet365

 

Unterhaching vs. Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen’s 5-0 drubbing of Borussia M’gladbach is an ominous sign for Regionalliga side Unterhaching. The gap in quality, talent and depth between these two sides doesn’t even bear thinking about. It’s not surprising therefore that Bayer Leverkusen are the runaway favorites to win this game and, by all accounts, they should deliver as the favorites.

Soccer Betting Verdict: This one looks like a no-brainer on paper. So for value soccer picks in this game, we turn to totals betting markets. At bet365, you can back the OVER 2.5 at a decent -188. While at William Hill you can back the No for both teams to score combined with the OVER 2.5 at +230 soccer odds. In two rounds of DFB Pokal, Bayer Leverkusen are yet to concede a goal to lesser opposition while shipping 9 goals over two games.

Soccer Picks: Bayer Leverkusen to Win at -500 & No For both teams to score and OVER 2.5 at +230 at William Hill

 

Augsburg vs. Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund are giving Bayern Munich a run for its money in Bundesliga, nipping incessantly at their lofty rivals’ heels in the table, five points adrift. Most recently, they are riding a three-game winning streak in domestic action, which includes convincing wins over Stuttgart, Wolfsburg and Eintracht Frankfurt. On the road, Borussia Dortmund have won three of their last five games across all competitions. And in DFB Pokal, Borussia Dortmund have outscored opponents 9-1 over two games. This is the first matchup against a top-tier Bundesliga side, which sets up a slightly different ball game than in their previous games against lesser opponents. The Black and Yellows can’t take anything for granted, including Augsburg’s lowly position in the table. Augsburg may be 13th this week with just 16 points to show for 16 laps around Germany’s top-flight, but they are riding a four-game undefeated streak, which includes a scoreless draw to fourth-place Wolfsburg at home. The hosts might not roll over like a welcome mat as the soccer odds seem to suggest but the BVB should get the job done regardless.

Soccer Betting Verdict: Backing Borussia Dortmund to win outright at -225 provides some value. However, the better soccer picks can be had in periphery markets. We quite like the look of Borussia Dortmund to win both halves at +180 at William Hill and Yes for both teams to score combined with the OVER 2.5 goals at -125 at William Hill.

Soccer Picks: Borussia Dortmund -225 & Yes for both teams to score combined with OVER 2.5 goals at -125 at William Hill.

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