Italy are already assured of qualification for the 2014 FIFA World Cup, but they signalled their intent not to take it easy on their group rivals by recalling Fiorentina striker Guiseppe Rossi for this match. Rossi hasn’t featured for the Azzuri since this time in 2011, largely due to injury, but has scored six times in seven games for Fiorentina this year.
Also included in the squad are Mario Balotelli – despite currently serving a three game ban in Serie A for abusing a referee – and goalkeeper Gianluigi Buffon, who will break the record for Italian caps if he is selected for this game.
The Danes’ only hope of qualification is through the play-off system and to even get there they need to win their remaining two games and hope that Bulgaria drop points against either Armenia or the Czech Republic in their last two matches. Denmark will be confident of beating lowly Malta next Tuesday, so this is an absolutely crucial game for them.
Italy are unbeaten and won the first meeting between these two sides 3-1, so it is something of a surprise to see them as long as 3.0 with Bet365. The Danes, meanwhile, are slightly favoured at 2.45 with BetVictor. The draw, meanwhile, can be added to your soccer picks at 3.25 in most markets.
It is hard to see this game panning out the way that the market expects. Even though the Italians have qualified, they won’t let go of that unbeaten record lightly and that then lends itself to a draw, with a solid 5.0 on offer from BetVictor for the match to be tied both at half- and full-time and the same bookmaker offering 7.0 on a 1-1 draw (and 9.5 on a 0-0 one).