Soccer Picks: Could Leicester City Beat West Ham United?

Lee Phelps

Friday, April 3, 2015 1:46 PM UTC

Friday, Apr. 3, 2015 1:46 PM UTC

Leicester are getting close to the point of no return and have a must-win game against a West Ham side who have on goal: to reach eighth. William Hill's Lee Phelps

The business end of the Premier League will be full of matches like this. It means everything to Leicester and realistically very little to West Ham. The Foxes have pushed and tried as hard as they can but the results just won’t come and now they find themselves bottom and six points from safety if you give them the benefit of the doubt as far as goal difference is concerned.


Leicester City
I must admit, when I was mulling this game over before I started making notes I fancied the home team to win it, but then I started to look at the stats. Leicester have won just one of their last 10 Premier League home matches (W1 D3 L6). Nigel Pearson's side have scored just three goals in their last nine Premier League games at the King Power Stadium and have gone five hours and 15 minutes since they lasted netted in front of their own fans. No ground has seen fewer Premier League goals this season than the King Power Stadium (30, level with Villa Park).

It would be easy for me to say all those runs must come to an end sooner or later, but if you’re putting money on these tips at the current soccer odds, I just don’t think I can justify it on a whim, you need to see something before you put your money down.

Compare prices for all the Premier League soccer odds

West Ham United
So can we back the Hammers to inflict more pain on Pearson’s men? They are unbeaten in their last seven league games against Leicester City (W4 D3 L0), including the 2-0 win at Upton Park in December, when they scored with their only two shots on target.

But, Sam Allardyce's team have won none of their last seven Barclays Premier League away matches (W0 D4 L3) and have only kept one clean sheet in their last 20 on the road.

They do have goals of course and in what you would expect to be a tight game, Leicester will have to be rock-solid at set pieces, with Diafra Sakho’s league-high five headed goals this season. He has actually had the second most headed attempts in the division, with 23.


Soccer picks
I can’t get Leicester winning this game out of my head, but I’m not going to back them with my soccer picks. I’m sticking with goals here and a lack of them in keeping with the stadium’s lack of net bulges.

Free soccer pick: Under 1.5 goals 4.0 (3/1)

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