Soccer Picks: Champions League Semi-Final Recap & Predictions for Leg 2

Lee Phelps

Thursday, May 7, 2015 3:58 PM GMT

We're at the half time point in the Champions League semi finals, with Spain in the driving seat. William Hill's Lee Phelps looks at the odds on both games for his free betting pick.
 

 

Spanish eyes are smiling in the Champions League with both La Liga clubs soccer odds on to qualify for the European showpiece final. Real Madrid head in to their home leg trailing 2-1 but with that all important away goal, while Barca are virtually through having beaten Bayern 3-0 on Wednesday.

 

Real Madrid 1 – 2 Juventus
Although Madrid didn’t play that well and at times looked more like a collection of individuals than team, they grabbed a goal and kept Juve down to scoring two.

Madrid are confident too, with James Rodriquez showing how they viewed the game: 'It's not a bad loss. They were lucky. I had the chance that came off the bar but it was bad luck and it didn't go in. We have to leave this behind and think about next Wednesday. They will sit back and we have to have faith.'

Madrid have won their last six home games, scoring 21 goals in the process and conceding twice, add to that the fact they have scored at least once in each of their last 51 home games and have not failed to score at the Bernabéu in 23 UEFA Champions League outings, since a 2-0 defeat by FC Barcelona at the semi-final stage on 27 April 2011.

Ronaldo was a great bet at 2.6 (13/10) in Italy and he has scored six times in his last six UEFA Champions League games against Italian sides. His tally of nine semi-final goals in the competition is unsurpassed.

Juventus have won the first leg of a UEFA competition tie 2-1 on four occasions and progressed each time.

The Bianconeri will be confident of doing a job on Madrid too, because they have a better defensive record away than at home this season, conceding just 12 goals in 24 matches on their travels.

Carlos Tévez has scored seven Champions League goals this season, one more than in his five previous campaigns combined. He has scored 20 Serie A goals and is three goals shy of his career-best total for a league campaign, set in 2009/10 while at Manchester City FC.

Soccer Pick: I can see a reverse score line in Madrid, with the home team coming out as 2-1 winners and clinching their place in the final via extra-time. Once again I’ll be betting on Ronaldo to score.

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Bayern Munich 0 – 3 Barcelona
With about 70 minutes gone this game was wide open, but then Lionel Messi grabbed hold of the match. Two goals later and it still wasn’t a disaster for Bayern, but Neymar’s late third goal pretty much ends this tie.

The German champions are capable of turning it around, but they would need to be at full strength and without Robben and Ribery to name two, they can’t live with this Barca outfit.

Obviously Munich will have to attack and that will leave gaps for Messi, Neymar and Suarez to exploit and so I find it hard to see how we don’t get goals here.

Soccer Pick: I’m going for a simple soccer pick here. Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals at 1.8 (4/5) at William Hill

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