Soccer Picks for Champions League 2nd Leg: Chelsea vs. Paris Saint-Germain in Round of 16

Kevin Stott

Monday, March 9, 2015 3:25 PM GMT

Take advantage of our Champions League soccer pick for Chelsea vs. Paris Saint-Germain. They played to a 1-1 tie in Paris in Leg 1 of their UCL series, so this Leg 2 from Stamford Bridge should be a thriller.

Chelsea vs. Paris Saint-Germain: Soccer Betting Odds Overview
Wednesday 20:45 (Fox Sports 1, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Soccer 2Go, Fox Sports GO, ESPN Deportes (US); Sky Sports 5/HD, NOW TV, Sky Go, Sky Go Extra (UK), 2:45 p.m. ET/11:45 a.m. PT): English Premier League giant and 2012 European continental champions Chelsea welcome Zlatan Ibrahimovic and Paris Saint-Germain to West London and Stamford Bridge on Wednesday for Leg 2 of their UEFA Champions League Knockout Stage Round of 16 series. In the opening leg in France, PSG rallied for a 1-1 draw so the Parisians will have to get at least a road goal here to have a chance to advance.

Chelsea have been made +100 favorites (bet365) with guests PSG priced as +320 underdogs and the Draw priced at a low +250 here in the Three-Way (Winner) marketplace. The Total Goals in this match has been set at 2½ Under -150 (Over +114; bet365) while the Both Teams To Score Prop odds see the Yes priced at -125 and the No at -110 (Sky Bet). The Team To Score First prop sees Chelsea lined at -150, PSG at +160 and the No Goals at +800 (BetVictor).

 

Paris Saint-Germain FC
Paris Saint-Germain (15-11-2, 50GF-24 GA in Ligue 1) and 49-year-old manager Laurent Blanc did themselves a huge favor with striker Edinson Cavani (+210, Anytime Goalscorer in Champions League Soccer Odds, bet365) equalizing in the second Half at home in Paris to put this 1-1 aggregate scoreline where it now sits heading in here to SW6. Les Rouge-et-Bleu (The Red and Blue) are currently in second place in France’s top flight of soccer, one point behind Lyon (57-56 points) and on Saturday, PSG won 4-1 over Lens at home at Parc des Princes in Week 28 Ligue 1 play. The value Soccer pick here seems like it could be with PSG (+320), with Les Parisiens ranked #13 by UEFA and Chelsea at #3. But with the game being played in West London and the Blues so strong at home and having two of the best GKs in all of world football (soccer) in Thibaut Courtois and Petr Cech, Chelsea is a tough nut to crack. Besides big dog Ibrahimovic (+175) and Cavani, PSG will hope someone like talented Argentinian Ezequiel Lavezzi (+225), Jean-Christophe Bahebeck (+300), Jean-Kévin Augustin (+325) or maybe Javier Pastore (+600) gets that precious road score (and more) here on Tuesday. On the injury front, PSG, midfielder Yohan Cabaye (thigh) is listed as Doubtful by the UEFA.com website for this contest, while Rouge-et-Bleu teammates Lucas Moura (groin) and RB Serge Aurier (hamstring) are both injured and will reportedly miss the game.

Who would you pick as Top Goal Scorer in Champions League?

Chelsea FC
Chelsea (19-6-2, 57 GF-22 GA in English Premier League) not only comes into this match with the road goal and the home field advantage, but the Blues—which last played last Wednesday at West Ham— will be much more rested than PSG, which will be playing on only 2 full days rest (Monday, Tuesday). But the Blues have some injury issues in the defensive midfield with veteran John Obi Mikel (knee) injured and out and club-engine Nemanja Matic (ankle) healing but probable after hurting himself in a celebration slide after Chelsea’s Capital One (League) Cup victory over Tottenham Hotspur. In its aforementioned last outing, Chelsea and goalkeeper Courtois blanked West Ham, 1-0 at the Boleyn Ground to retain its now 5-point lead (63-58 points) over second-place and defending champions Manchester City in the English Premier League.

With heady Blues manager José Mourinho so good at home, and strikers like Chelsea legend Didier Drogba (+175, Anytime Goalscorer, bet365), scoring machine Diego Costa (+130) and Loïc Rémy (+175), the hosts have a number of goal-scoring alternatives, but it will likely be the attacking midfielders—Eden Hazard (+250), Brazilians Oscar (+210,) Willian (+385) or Ramires (+700) or maybe new Fiorentina-signee Juan Cuadrado (+275)—who end up making or breaking Chelsea’s fortunes in this game which should be incredibly entertaining given the relative equality of the two sides, the aggregate scoreline and the fact that the winner gets to move on—although the Blues could actually do so with a 0-0 final on the back of that Branislav Ivanovic tally in Leg 1n in gay Paree. Besides Courtois and Matic, playmaker Cesc Fàbregas (+375) will likely really have to have a good game for Chelsea.

 

Best Betting Approaches and Trends
Lifetime against PSG, Chelsea is 2-2-1 (7 GF-4 GA) and the Blues are 1-1-0 (2 GF-0 GA) against les Rouge-et-Bleu here at home at Stamford Bridge—all UEFA Champions League meetings—so, PSG has yet to score in West London. But you can throw all that Small Sample Size data out the window, although it does reveal that Chelsea has beaten PSG when it’s had to here in Londontown. If it fails to score Wednesday no matter what Chelsea does, PSG’s tournament will be over, but despite the pressure, the visitors do have the dominating Ibrahimovic, and with others like Cavani and Lavezzi, PSG can definitely pull off the upset here.

But with one of the strongest defenses in Europe with Courtois in goal, captain John Terry and Gary Cahill as CBs and the now oft-unheralded César Azpilicueta and Ivanovic, this team knows how to prioritize defense and can afford a different approach heading in here with that valuable road goal in tow. But should visiting PSG score first, Chelsea will find itself nervously chasing again so expect Mourinho to work all of that Healthy Fear into his game plan and actually go for a couple of goals here, utilizing the wonderful talents of Costa, Fabregas and Hazard as well as the energy from the home crowd. And, don’t be surprised if defender Ivanovic gets another goal as he has become comfortably accustomed to his role as a clutch player for the Blues and has obviously been given The Green Light from The Special One to throw himself forward and even create offensively. And when needing to try to keep a very big (6 -5) threat like Ibrahimovic from roaming and getting too much space in the box in front of goal, who better than to try to do that Human Housecleaning than the 6-2 Serb sensation?

PREDICTED FINAL: Chelsea 2 PSG 1

UEFA CL PICK: Chelsea +100 Soccer Odds (bet365)

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