Soccer Picks: Celtic vs. AC Milan

Mike Richardson

Tuesday, November 26, 2013 1:35 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 26, 2013 1:35 PM UTC

Champions League Soccer means champions’ quality betting picks from your Humble Handicapper. Why not join him in making the bookies pay when Celtic host AC Milan on Tuesday night?

AC Milan got their Champions League campaign off to a stellar start by beating Celtic 2-0 last time these sides met, back in September.

Best begun is half won

It was the sort of start that Milan needed and Celtic could ill-afford as they are in a difficult mix as Group H also features Barcelona and Ajax.

Celtic fans will never tire of reminding you that last season they recorded a massive 2-1 victory over Barcelona. Back on that night of nights Victor Wanyama scored the opener, but he has since departed to Southampton, and if you add into the mix the fact star striker Gary Hooper also left the club to join Norwich City you’ll see why the bookies have a 2-1 home win at soccer odds of 11/1.

But good news for the Tartan Army

It could well be the best time to play Milan as they are on a 5 game winless run! It’s not as bad as it sounds as they’ve only tasted defat twice in their last five, but still…that many games without a victory is still a very barren run.

Looking at these last five games you’ll see that AC Milan have only managed three goals in that run, and have not scored more than one goal in any one of those games. Milan have also conceded seven goals in that stretch. That sort of form informs my soccer picks.

It’s a rosier run for Celtic in their last five, but not much. They have two wins in their last five but have lost three of those games. However what’s interesting is that Celtic have scored as many goals as they have conceded.


It pays to be a winner

The fact that Celtic are dead last in their group combined with the fact that Milan came out on top would suggest that the away side will be smiling come the final whistle and that suggest that you should back a Milan win at soccer odds of 6/4 with the sportsbooks, but the clever bettor will know that Celtic fare well at home in the Champion League, and have won 16 of their 23 home fixtures in the group stage of the competition.

Your Humble Handicapper suggest that you go for either a draw or a home win at 9/4 and 2/1 with the sportsbooks respectively.

And despite losing 1-0 to Ajax in their last Champions League match, Celtic have won four of their five home matches in this competition.

Does it get sweeter than that?

Let’s sugar that up a little more for the Jocks and mention that Milan have not won in nine matches on the road in all competitions, losing four and drawing five. AND have not won in their last four visits to Scotland.

A tale of two leagues

Milan have made a dull start to their Italian league campaign, with just 14 points from 13 Serie A matches. They’re sitting in the bottom half of the table, and endured a 1-1 home draw against a 10-man Genoa on Saturday. Celtic are unbeaten in 16 Scottish League matches. ‘nuff said!

Prediction: Celtic win 3-1 at 22/1 with Coral.
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