Soccer Picks: Celta Vigo vs. Atletico Madrid

Nila Amerova

Tuesday, March 4, 2014 8:10 PM UTC

Tuesday, Mar. 4, 2014 8:10 PM UTC

Celta de Vigo are set to collide with Atletico Madrid in week 27 La Liga betting with the hosts listed at the huge disadvantage in soccer betting markets. Can Celta turn the odds in their favour? Join us as we breakdown this matchup and deliver our free soccer picks for your consideration.

Celta de Vigo at the disadvantage

Celta de Vigo enter this clash with Atletico Madrid at the disadvantage, matched at +333 to win outright at Bet365 and at slightly higher +340 soccer odds at William Hill.

Celta are sat in 11th place in the table on the back of an 8-6-12 mark and 30 points. They are three points adrift of Espanyol (in tenth) and seven points clear of the drop zone. The proverbial rock and a hard place: for now, they are safe inside top-flight Primera Division but hardly secure. Leaking points and losing ground would mean almost certain decline.

Most recently, Celta are after a 1-0 defeat to Elche on the road. Overall, recent form is comprised of an encouraging 3-2-1 record home and away while home form alone is a positive 3-3-0 in La Liga; they are undefeated at home since a 2-0 defeat to Rayo Vallecano on November 9, 2013. Although four results came at the expense of clubs currently ranked below Celta in the table and should be taken within that context, two were rather eyebrow raising – a 2-1 victory over Valencia and a scoreless draw with Athletic Club. Those two results must be cheering to Celta supporters, even so far as to lend their rather large soccer odds for the home win value.

That said it’s worth noting that these positive results at home are a recent phenomenon; road form this season remains slightly better than home form as far as wins go – the former stands at a 5-0-8 mark while the latter stands at a rather sad 3-6-4 mark.        

Atletico Madrid looking to bounce back

Atletico Madrid have lost the edge they boasted in the first half of the season and, most recently, they are flush off a 2-2 draw against Real Madrid that cast further doubt on their title credentials this season – an occurrence that is being matched at +1400 futures odds at Bet365 at this point in time.

Nonetheless, the highly entertaining and intense derby ended on semi-positive result given their neighbours lofty standards. There’s something to be said for having made a point. Still, privately, they are probably ruing the missed opportunity as they held the 2-1 lead until the 82nd minute when Cristiano Ronaldo equalised only to snatch victory out of their hands and force the draw instead.

Atleti will be looking to bounce back at the expense of Celta de Vigo; that is, if they can put behind the missed opportunity fast enough. Sportsbooks appear confident they will do so, matching a road victory at -118 at William Hill. Bet365 meanwhile are slightly more confident at -125 soccer odds for an Atleti victory at Estadio de Balaídos.

Atleti are third in the table on the back of a 19-4-3 record; they are three points adrift of Real Madrid at the top of the table and just two points behind Barcelona. Having missed a great opportunity to beat Real Madrid in week 26 La Liga betting, they must look at this weekend’s clash as a chance to get back on track. Certainly, a victory is necessary if only to remain in the title race and keep pace with the top tandem.

Lending their soccer odds for the victory on the road is a positive 8-1-3 record on the road. Last month, Atleti lost to Almeria 2-0 on the road and two weeks ago they lost to Osasuna 3-0, the latter marking their fourth defeat in their last seven matches. For a side that went on a tear in its first 36 matches across all competitions, four defeats in such a short space of time doesn’t augur well, marks a significant departure from form that remains to be seen whether it’s temporary or permanent, a sign of changing fortune.

Soccer Betting Verdict: Operating on the assumption that Atleti’s recent dip in form is a mere hiccup and nothing to be overly concerned about, we’re backing the visitors to the victory at -118 at William Hill. This doesn’t mean Celta de Vigo will be pushovers. Recent form suggests that they have room for optimism. They could even come through on their large +340 soccer odds to win outright. After all, if Osasuna and Almeria beat Atleti, they have to believe they could too. So if you like the home side for the so-called upset, by all means take them on your soccer picks.  That said Atleti, playing at full potential, are tough to beat. What’s more, at -118 soccer odds they are good bang for your buck, so to speak.

Soccer Free Picks:  Atleti to win outright at -118 at William Hill

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